4th Industrial Revolution

Please note this was 9 months ago.


There has been a tremendous improvement in AI in the last nine months. Also, the "babysitting" stage is giving them an opportunity to gather data. They check every time a human had to intervene, make improvements, and then you have "Presto 2.0". They have 350 locations in the US, that means in one year they get 350 years worth of experience.

She had 3 challenges, this passed two of them, the third was "humanness", you can be sure the 2.0 version will be much more human recognizing flirting and jokes and respond appropriately.

Also in her test she had baby crying, dog barking and horn honking while saying her order. AI is very good at taking a sound and filtering it out. It takes more computing power and it might mean an upgrade to your AI but the AI passed this test and you can be sure after 9 months it is even better.

Understandable. I share some of the sentiment. But I'm not locked into many interpretations, or to a systematic theology, maybe especially eschatology. I've found it very rare that anything is mentioned in a Bible forum that is even remotely educational or productive. I come and go on these forums and have spent most of my time in exegetical studies which I periodically need to rest from.

I found studies in eschatology to be too inconclusive and the topic to be too much of a battleground with seemingly deep hostilities. It's easy to camp in a system and see everything conform to that system - exegesis becomes eisegesis. Then one can delve fairly deeply into another system and it's easy to see things fit into that system. I currently hold no allegiances to any although I do have a leaning after being trained for years in one and then reading extensively in another that I used to be against. I concluded that I can live out and grow in the Faith apart from most of eschatology interpretation until if and when I'm led to get into it again. I'm more of a casual watcher of those studies now than an in depth student of it. And being educated to whatever degree in a few systems, I keep somewhat of an eye on the state of the world to evaluate its condition in view of eschatological interpretations. My in depth studies are in other areas of Theology.

Thanks for the input.

BTW, what's/where's your blog?

Thanks for sharing the link.

Admittedly only glanced through the first half dozen pages and read one and parts of others. Not an exegetical study. More of a theoretical commentary that some exegetes I know would refer to as newspaper eschatology. You are prolific! That's a lot of work and with that m.o. you won't run out of material.

Thanks for the interaction up to this point.

Tesla's AI Awakening: The Billion-Dollar Bet You Didn't Know!

"We believe that the entire opportunity is going to generate revenues of 8 to 10 trillion in 2030"

Do you think it is a coincidence that total payroll of all US employees is $8 to 10 trillion? Obviously you also have Europe and the other developed nations, but they are referring to generating 8 to 10 trillion in revenue by doing other people's jobs. As a rule AI works at about a fourth of the cost of an employee, even an eighth (they work at half price and can do four shifts). They are telling you that they are anticipating AI to take a massive portion of jobs by 2030.

Assume that AI doubles its implementation every 18 months. Then from 2024 to 2030 it will double 4 times. That would mean this year they anticipate sales of $600 billion. Also assume that AI is working at half price of an employee, that would mean they are replacing $1.2 trillion of the US workforce, or about 12% this year. We have already been told that 20% of the workforxce is extremely vulnerable to AI right now, so they are assuming 50% to 2/3 of those workers will be replaced this year. However for every 100 jobs they replace they will probably create 1 new one.

I just saw another video pushing AI and saying it was absurd to think that AI would replace all the developers in five years.

Once again, during the great depression we had 25% unemployment. You don't have to replace 100% of the workers to have a great depression. The question is at what point will fortune 500 companies stop hiring college graduates, that will be the point at which you have a major problem.

Also, this is not the industrial revolution, the industrial revolution replaced horses, oxen, and other forms of dometicated animals used for labor. We still have horses today. So yes, AI will not replace developers, but they'll be about as common as horses are today compared to the time prior to the industrial revolution.

Pentagon will search for targets using OpenAI AI

ChatGPT leans left and communist because the programmers are left leaning and communist. If more Christians knew how to program it and give it godly data, it wouldn't be so one-sided against God and us.

I think the left and communists/ globalists and the antichrist and his minions are PURPOSELY scaring Christians from using it so they can control the data that flows into it!


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Well, the elites want most of us dead. That way there will be enough employment for the rest that survive.

I cant understand how some people think there is no eschatology we have to watch for in the near future.


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They want to outlaw Christians and conservatives. The Gulag in DC was just a preview. Just like Communists have always done. This is similar to Haman wanting to exterminate all the Jews of his time, Just as he ended up on the gallows and Hell, all the Leftists are bound for Hell, and they don't even know it, and don't want to hear about it. AI is somehow connected to the reign of the Antichrist.

I had a dream and in it realized that this is the thief in the night. It was as though people woke up one day and all the jobs had been stolen.

If A.I. Was Honest | Honest Ads [ChatGPT, A.I. Parody]

US job openings slide to three-year low as demand for labor gradually eases
By Lucia Mutikani
May 1, 20242:44 PM EDTUpdated a day ago

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-private-payrolls-beat-expectations-april-2024-05-01/

https://intellizence.com/insights/layoff-downsizing/major-companies-that-announced-mass-layoffs/

https://techcrunch.com/2024/05/01/tech-layoffs-2023-list/

AI Is Driving More Layoffs than Companies Want to Admit

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/ai-is-driving-more-layoffs-than-companies-want-to-admit-1.2032687

(Bloomberg) -- United Parcel Service Inc.’s largest layoffs in its 116-year history weremade possible, in part, by new technologies including artificial intelligence, CEO Carol Tomé said last week. Citing one example, she said that machine learning allows salespeople to put together proposals without having to ask pricing experts for guidance.

UPS is among a growing number of companies facing an AI two-step of sorts: Showing investors how AI helps do more with less while simultaneously avoiding the fear-mongering that comes with directly linking technology with job cuts. A UPS spokesperson later said AI is not replacing workers, and that executives did not make an explicit connection between AI and the permanent layoffs on the company’s earnings call.

BlackRock Inc. last month said it would dismiss about 600 employees. In a memo to staff, CEO Larry Fink and President Rob Kapito pointed to dramatic industry shifts “and perhaps most profound, new technologies are poised to transform our industry — and every other industry.” While Fink has been outspoken about his belief in AI’s potential to turbocharge productivity, the new tech was not cited as a reason for the cuts. The asset manager still expects to have a larger staff by the end of the year as it expands certain parts of the business, according to the memo.

Experts struggle to get an accurate picture of just how many jobs are being eliminated as AI rapidly advances. Since last May, US companies have announced more than 4,600 jobs cuts in order to free up resources to hire people with AI experience or because the technology replaced tasks, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. But that estimate is “certainly undercounting” the true total, Senior Vice President Andrew Challenger said in an interview.

“There are probably more jobs in the economy that are being cut because of AI already than are getting attributed to that or announced. Every time a company mentions it, they get headlines across every news outlet for like a month,” Challenger said. “They would rather go under the radar most of the time.”

Last spring, International Business Machines Corp. drove headlines across the world when Chief Executive Officer Arvind Krishna told Bloomberg the company planned to pause hiring it thinks it could soon replace with AI. An IBM spokesperson said the company does not have a hiring freeze in place and plans to keep headcount level this year.

Johnny Taylor, CEO of the Society for Human Resource Management, agreed that many of these kinds of cuts will happen quietly.

“IBM was a leader and was public about it, and got beaten up pretty bad,” Taylor said in an interview in December. “So the rest of them have said ‘We’re not going to announce it, I’m just going to do it.’ We’re going to reduce our headcount.”

Many firms may do that by significantly slowing hiring, he said. “We will wake up three years from now and see much leaner organizations,” he said. “They will have replaced you without making a big announcement.”

So far, most AI-related cuts have been in the tech industry, according to Challenger’s tally. Some companies, like homework help site Chegg and programmer help site Stack Overflow, cut staff after their businesses were directly undercut by AI products. Other companies, like file-storage service Dropbox, raced to refocus on the new technology, letting go of staff to make way for new hires with AI skill sets.

After IBM, only a handful of companies have explicitly tied AI to job cuts or hiring freezes.

In December, the Swedish buy now, pay later firm Klarna Inc. said it would freeze hiring as tools like OpenAI’s ChatGPT cut down the time certain tasks take. “We need fewer people to do the same thing,” CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski told the Telegraph. “The right thing for us is just to say: ‘let’s not recruit now, let’s see how this plays out.’” A spokesperson for Klarna declined to comment further.

In January, language-learning software company Duolingo Inc. chose not to renew about 10% of its contractors.

Googles NEW "Med-Gemini" SURPRISES Doctors! (Googles New Medical AI)

If AI can operate better than the clinician alone and it has done that in less than a year, imagine how much better it will be a year from after working in hospitals around the country assisting in diagnosis. AI improves about ten times faster than humans. How long before humans are irrelevant.

Same job, $16 less per hour: Frustrated job hunters can't find roles that pay as well as their old ones

https://www.morningstar.com/news/ma...find-roles-that-pay-as-well-as-their-old-ones

If AI makes it easier to do the job then why pay as much as before? For example, if the computer tells you what part to replace on the car you don't have to pay for a mechanic, just someone who can unplug old parts and plug in new parts.

Consider this, Google and ChatGPT are scoring in the 90% range diagnosing patients as a clinician. You might wonder how many clinicians score better than that? But that would be the wrong question. The real question to ask is how many residents in Med school score better than that because if the answer is less than 1% why bring in any residents? Why waste time training residents who will never perform better than AI. Instead use AI which will improve dramatically over the next year as it gets real world experience, same as a resident would.

Already AI is performing better than average clinicians, but by working together with a clinician they perform even better and will improve that much faster. There are 144,000 residents in Med school each year in the US. That means if AI takes their place it will get 144,000 years worth of experience in one year.

Also what is to stop insurance companies from changing how much they pay based on the cost of AI. Even if you only get 3% of residencies filled by AI that is still going to get 4,000 years experience in one year, it will then score much higher than it does now, and we'll see insurance companies demanding the use of AI to limit liability and limit costs.

I would also argue that very few jobs require greater skill than diagnosing a medical issue. Think of Lawyers, 99% of what they do is relatively standard and straightforward. Maybe only 1% is the OJ trial. Same thing with financial analyst, there are straight forward metrics, for the most part it is simply doing an exhaustive analysis which AI and computers do better than humans. The same is true with engineers, and also with salesmen. Amazon.com's success is in knowing what the customer is looking for and then offering it to them through the internet.

If AI can outperform the average person in these jobs it can easily outperform new hires. Once you start getting a few thousand jobs handled by AI it will improve exponentially faster than those who are very good at a job.

First year you replace 15%. Second year you replace another 15% by keeping the hiring freeze on and you offer early retirement to another 15%. Now you have 45% of the work done by AI and the next year you lay off half your workforce. Two years after widespread adoption of AI 70% of the jobs are replaced.