Wow. I take a week vacation and suddenly Trump is in free fall. What happened to his convention bounce?
Polling Data
[TABLE="class: data large"]
[TR="class: header"]
[TH="class: noCenter"]Poll[/TH]
[TH="class: date"]Date[/TH]
[TH="class: sample"]Sample[/TH]
[TH="class: moe"]MoE[/TH]
[TH="class: diag"]Clinton (D)[/TH]
[TH="class: diag"]Trump (R)[/TH]
[TH="class: spread"]Spread[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: rcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]RCP Average[/TD]
[TD]7/25 - 8/2[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]--[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]--[/TD]
[TD]46.5[/TD]
[TD]42.0[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +4.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
Economist/YouGovEconomist[/TD]
[TD]7/30 - 8/1[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]933 RV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]4.1[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]43[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: alt isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
LA Times/USCLA Times[/TD]
[TD]7/27 - 8/2[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]2188 LV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]--[/TD]
[TD]44[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Trump +1[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
CBS NewsCBS News[/TD]
[TD]7/29 - 7/31[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]1131 RV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]3.0[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: alt isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
CNN/ORCCNN/ORC[/TD]
[TD]7/29 - 7/31[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]894 RV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]3.5[/TD]
[TD]52[/TD]
[TD]43[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
PPP (D)PPP (D)[/TD]
[TD]7/29 - 7/30[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]1276 LV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]2.7[/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: alt isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
NBC News/SMNBC News[/TD]
[TD]7/25 - 7/31[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]12742 RV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]1.2[/TD]
[TD]50[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
Reuters/IpsosReuters[/TD]
[TD]7/25 - 7/29[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]1050 LV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]3.5[/TD]
[TD]40[/TD]
[TD]35[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: alt isInRcpAvg"]
[TD="class: noCenter"]
Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen[/TD]
[TD]7/26 - 7/27[/TD]
[TD="class: sample"]1000 LV[/TD]
[TD="class: moe"]3.0[/TD]
[TD]43[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[TD="class: spread"]Clinton +1[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
All General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Polling Data
RCP Poll Average
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
[TABLE="class: embed"]
[TR]
[TD]This is my latest concern. I still feel Hillary will win the Presidential election because Trump cannot flip any blue states and will likely lose several red states. But looking further ahead, I'm extremely concerned about what will take place after the election is over. Specifically, the way that Trump is likely to react to losing. I predict that he will not go away and he will not quietly accept the results. He may spend the next 4-8 years shouting about how the election was rigged. He will suggest the republican party had it in for him and he will attack them for it. He may lead those that supported him down a path where he tells them to walk away from the republican party because they were betrayed. The damage will be widespread and the party may not recover from it.
Just so I'm not all doom and gloom, I spent a week in Omaha. Hillary came to visit by Mom's former high school. My brother-in-law works as a Lt. of the airport police and he was approached by Hillary's people, who asked him to help transport all of her luggage to their vehicles. He looked at Hillary's guy in charge and told him he was out of luck. His people were not baggage handlers. Then they said something stupid to him about wanting to find an elevator with more capacity to hold their entire party (the only available elevator held a maximum of ten people). He pointed to the stairs and told them that was their other option. He doesn't care much for Hillary, as you can guess.[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]