I'm wondering about what the world will look like at the end of this war.
With the WHOLE WORLD putting severe sanctions in place and Russia stopping all grain shipments out of Ukraine....everyone is only getting more mad at Russia than ever before.
Then because of internal fighting and a lack of Op-sec Russia is going to implode with everyone making a power grab. Likely even going into multiple states as local oligarchs start their own territories and PMCs. Meaning if Russia is fragmented into multiple pieces....their military is kaput and nuclear weapons are in the hands of petty tyrants.
This ain't good in any fashion either.
But if Ukraine takes Crimea back....the ultimate failure is all on Putin's head. And the military will completely collapse. The Ruble is already dropping and being propped up by reserves....that is not going to last much longer. Russian reserves are down 75% and the Russian economy is down over 40% (with latest sanctions).
Meaning they won't be able to pay soldiers, police, or their massive disinformation networks. (Everyone copying the RDC will still get their SM clicks and payments)
But essentially just like when the USSR collapsed its going to be chaos again.
Can Russia win?
No. Not with the whole world against them. There is no scenario where Russia comes out on top with the whole world against them.
The best that Russia can hope for is to remain intact as a nation at this point. They can kill a lot of people in the meantime and cause a lot of destruction....even genocide. Possibly even start a nuclear exchange. But they will not exist anymore if they do so. Basically the same outcome as before.
All this would be true if Russia really was alone in this conflict, all they have to do is raise the debt ceiling and print more money like America is doing.
Russia is not going to run out of weapons or money, there just making there people suffer poverty and hardship
No doubt the world is returning back to rationing, like iñ the second world war and first world war.
The end result is the poverty gets worse and conflict gets higher and hey presto, more conflicts
Who is paying for the war ?.
The people all over the world are paying for it.
Russia provides natural resources to China ànd India the two biggest populated countries in the world plus the middle eàst.
In return china can provide weapons to Russia.
China and India and Saudi Arabia can sell Russia's natural resources on.
America does the same they have arms agreements with the UK who provide weapons to Saudi who sell them on or vise versa UK to America to Saudi.
There all in it together where you get all theese leader giving freedom speeches all blaming each other, and all giving plans on how they will save a world they've broken in the first place.
Like pushing for renewables or genetically grown food or more indoor farms that offer low maintenance and need no soil and less water.
Yeah all this will happen but poverty will be so high by then that we will be paying for it for a long time.
When that day come new war will emerge through ai artificial intelligence, and boom they will wipe the natural resources out all over again.
Or we will get a ñew dictator call cropolf hitler assinating the crops.
I mean seriously could you think of more appropriate name for a dictator (Hitler). Hit as in hitting everyone with assassination, that really was a fixed name.