The US Joins WW3
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Property values in Ukraine did not drop prior to the 2022 invasion. Instead, the real estate market experienced a record-high growth year in 2021, and property values remained remarkably stable right up until Russia launched its full-scale attack on February 24, 2022. [1, 2, 3]
Despite the buildup of Russian troops along the borders in late 2021 and early 2022, buyers, sellers, and developers in major cities like Kyiv generally operated as if the threat of a full-scale war or an attack on the capital was highly unlikely. Property transactions and pricing held steady until the day of the invasion, which completely froze the primary and secondary real estate markets and suspended operations. It was only after the invasion began that market dynamics shifted dramatically—causing transaction volumes to plummet and values to diverge regionally based on proximity to the front lines.
My point was that a warning to someone in Ukraine that they needed to move needed to give them sufficient time to do that. It can take 3 months to close on a real estate deal.
Many people are stuck in their current living situation either because of a deposit or sunk equity. God is going to give you sufficient warning to get out and that includes being able to leave financially. It can be very expensive to quit your job and move. So then sufficient warning leaves people without excuse.
Well much of the warnings I have given have been specifically to people living in the US, especially if you are on the East Coast, West Coast or Gulf coast.
Bond Yields Spike: What Happens To Your Wallet Next? | Steve Hanke
This is the true scorecard to see who is winning, the US or China.
The median family income in the US is 87,000 a year. If you fall below that number you are being squeezed very hard. (even though that is the median family income, 80-85% of Americans make less than that, but this includes unemployed, single, homeless and retired people).
Fake news!
Russia would have to ask North Korea for 1.5 million troops because Russia doesn't have that many troops left.
If they ran a draft then all the people they would draft have no training or experience and would be useless and nothing more than cannon fodder in the front lines meat grinder
Here's some more fake news for you.
Russia is actively recruiting Americans into their fight.
Russia paying US recruits $26,000 to become cannon fodder in Ukraine war
“When an American suddenly ends up fighting on Russia’s side … They are invited onto television… and presented as proof that ‘ordinary Americans support Russia.'”
nypost.com
Yes, further proof they do not have 1.5 million troops to send in to the fight with Ukraine.
and what about Russia threatening to nuke NATO, how often does that happen? Oh wait, this is the first time.
They Lied!
You have been lied to, this recent near miss at a airplane crash is proof.
After the September 11 attacks, airlines and regulators required commercial carriers to replace flimsy pre-9/11 doors with heavily reinforced, intrusion-resistant, and often bulletproof cockpit doors made with steel, Kevlar composites, and hardened frames. [1, 2, 3, 4]
How Cockpit Doors Changed
- Before 9/11: Cockpit doors were lightweight interior partitions made of thin wood or aluminum, meant to separate crew from passengers rather than stop determined attackers. [1, 2]
- Immediate Fixes (Fall 2001): Major airlines quickly installed temporary bars, deadbolts, and extra hardware within weeks of the attacks. [1]
- Permanent Mandates (2002–2003): Laws like the Aviation and Transportation Security Act forced airlines to install hardened, locked, and penetration-resistant barriers designed to withstand extreme blunt force, firearms, and shrapnel. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Remaining Challenges
- The Open-Door Gap: While the closed doors are virtually impenetrable, they must occasionally open during flight for pilot breaks or meals, creating a temporary vulnerability. [1, 2]
- Secondary Barriers: Newer federal rules require secondary physical mesh or gate barriers on newly delivered commercial airliners to block the cabin while the main reinforced door is opened
Make no mistake, this war is over the US dollar as the reserve currency.
Everyone is now dumping
BRICS is an alliance against the west and their hegemony with the US dollar.
People lie, money doesn't lie. That is the basic rule when I was a stock broker. So then, the IRGC, Putin, Trump, Xi, Netanyahu, they are all people. They will lie and they will justify their lies because of national security, etc. So then the place where they aren't lying is the bond market*. If the US was winning everyone would be buying 30 year treasuries and the interest rates would be falling. However, interest rates are rising and they are rising the fastest they have ever risen. This is the world telling you the US and the western alliance is losing.
*The reason the bond market is so influential. If you are buying and selling in US dollars you have two choices. You can use US currency, but it doesn't pay interest, or you can use bonds which do pay interest. Why would you hold a billion dollars in cash in your central banks vault when you can instead hold bonds. 5% of $1 billion is $50 million a year. People don't buy US bonds as an investment (at least not the majority of transactions), they buy them because it is better to hold US bonds than US dollars. Suppose I am closing on a house, they need to see the money in the bank but it takes 3 months before we close. Why not collect 3 months of interest?
Therefore low interest rates means everyone needs the bonds because they are buying and selling in US dollars. High interest rates rising at the highest rate indicate that instead of buying US bonds they are selling them. If I am holding US bonds paying 2.5% interest and they are good for one more year, I can sell them at half price, 50% off and now they are paying 5% interest. Not only is everyone selling their bonds, they are selling them at a discount.
Everyone is now dumping
BRICS is an alliance against the west and their hegemony with the US dollar.
People lie, money doesn't lie. That is the basic rule when I was a stock broker. So then, the IRGC, Putin, Trump, Xi, Netanyahu, they are all people. They will lie and they will justify their lies because of national security, etc. So then the place where they aren't lying is the bond market*. If the US was winning everyone would be buying 30 year treasuries and the interest rates would be falling. However, interest rates are rising and they are rising the fastest they have ever risen. This is the world telling you the US and the western alliance is losing.
*The reason the bond market is so influential. If you are buying and selling in US dollars you have two choices. You can use US currency, but it doesn't pay interest, or you can use bonds which do pay interest. Why would you hold a billion dollars in cash in your central banks vault when you can instead hold bonds. 5% of $1 billion is $50 million a year. People don't buy US bonds as an investment (at least not the majority of transactions), they buy them because it is better to hold US bonds than US dollars. Suppose I am closing on a house, they need to see the money in the bank but it takes 3 months before we close. Why not collect 3 months of interest?
Therefore low interest rates means everyone needs the bonds because they are buying and selling in US dollars. High interest rates rising at the highest rate indicate that instead of buying US bonds they are selling them. If I am holding US bonds paying 2.5% interest and they are good for one more year, I can sell them at half price, 50% off and now they are paying 5% interest. Not only is everyone selling their bonds, they are selling them at a discount.
How can the US resolve the debt issue (1)?
Theoretically, the US government can lower its national debt burden through four primary macroeconomic pathways: fiscal austerity, economic growth, inflation, or debt restructuring/default. The debt burden is typically measured as the debt-to-GDP ratio, meaning solutions either reduce the total debt owed (the numerator) or expand the size of the economy (the denominator).
Here is a breakdown of how each mechanism works theoretically:
1. Fiscal Austerity (Altering the Budget)
This strategy directly targets the numerator by changing government ledger balances to run a fiscal surplus, which is then used to pay down existing debt.
2. Economic Growth (Expanding the Denominator)
If the economy grows faster than the accumulation of debt, the debt burden shrinks relative to the nation's capacity to pay it back. This is generally considered the most politically painless method.
[Right now with record high diesel prices, fertilizer prices and interest rates as well as Trump suggesting cancelling exports, the potential for economic growth solving this problem is next to 0 and an extremely dangerous approach]
3. Financial Repression and Inflation (Monetary Erosion)
This pathway reduces the real value of the debt over time without altering the nominal dollar amount owed.
[Allowing inflation to permanently erode the dollar would be a highly dangerous strategy that could trigger a structural flight from US Treasury bonds, though investors would not be dumping them for a unified "BRICS currency."
The 18th BRICS Summit in New Delhi made it clear that a single, unified BRICS currency does not exist, as the bloc officially dropped the idea. Instead, the real alternative emerging is a network of local-currency trade agreements and digital payment infrastructures (like BRICS Pay) designed to bypass the dollar]
Theoretically, the US government can lower its national debt burden through four primary macroeconomic pathways: fiscal austerity, economic growth, inflation, or debt restructuring/default. The debt burden is typically measured as the debt-to-GDP ratio, meaning solutions either reduce the total debt owed (the numerator) or expand the size of the economy (the denominator).
Here is a breakdown of how each mechanism works theoretically:
1. Fiscal Austerity (Altering the Budget)
This strategy directly targets the numerator by changing government ledger balances to run a fiscal surplus, which is then used to pay down existing debt.
- Tax Increases: Raising marginal income taxes, corporate taxes, or introducing new revenue mechanisms (like a Value-Added Tax or Carbon Tax) boosts government revenues to outpace spending.
- Spending Cuts: Reducing outlays on discretionary spending (defense, education) or mandatory programs (Social Security, Medicare, healthcare subsidies) decreases the amount of new debt issued and shrinks the structural deficit.
2. Economic Growth (Expanding the Denominator)
If the economy grows faster than the accumulation of debt, the debt burden shrinks relative to the nation's capacity to pay it back. This is generally considered the most politically painless method.
- Supply-Side Reforms: Deregulation, pro-growth tax structures, and free-trade agreements can incentivize private investment and boost gross output.
- Public Productivity Investment: Targeted federal spending on infrastructure, scientific research, and workforce education can raise the economy's long-term potential growth rate.
- Demographic Expansion: Implementing policies that increase the labor force participation rate or adopting high-skill immigration strategies can expand the active tax base.
[Right now with record high diesel prices, fertilizer prices and interest rates as well as Trump suggesting cancelling exports, the potential for economic growth solving this problem is next to 0 and an extremely dangerous approach]
3. Financial Repression and Inflation (Monetary Erosion)
This pathway reduces the real value of the debt over time without altering the nominal dollar amount owed.
- Inflation: Because federal debt is issued in nominal US dollars, creating unexpected inflation means the government pays back its obligations with currency that has less purchasing power.
- Financial Repression: The government and the Federal Reserve work in tandem to keep nominal interest rates artificially lower than the rate of inflation (negative real interest rates). This acts as a hidden tax on bondholders, transferring wealth from savers to the state debtor.
[Allowing inflation to permanently erode the dollar would be a highly dangerous strategy that could trigger a structural flight from US Treasury bonds, though investors would not be dumping them for a unified "BRICS currency."
The 18th BRICS Summit in New Delhi made it clear that a single, unified BRICS currency does not exist, as the bloc officially dropped the idea. Instead, the real alternative emerging is a network of local-currency trade agreements and digital payment infrastructures (like BRICS Pay) designed to bypass the dollar]
How can the US resolve the debt issue (2)?
4. Debt Restructuring or Default (The Extreme Measures)
This is the absolute last resort when a nation cannot generate enough revenue or growth to sustain its interest payments.
Sovereign nations frequently go to war—or deliberately escalate geopolitical tensions—when facing severe financial crisis and impending bankruptcy. [1, 2]
Historically, when a government runs out of money and faces domestic collapse, entering a conflict is rarely an accident. Rather, it is often a calculated survival strategy used by regimes to reset their financial balances or distract their population. [1, 2]
In political science and economics, this behavior is analyzed through a few specific historical patterns:
1. The "Hostile Takeover" of Resources (Iraq & Kuwait)
When a nation’s debt is owed directly to its neighbors and its economy is imploding, a desperate regime may go to war to physically seize assets or erase its debts by force. [1, 2]
2. "Diversionary War" and Regime Survival
When an economy is collapsing, inflation is rampant, and the population is on the verge of revolt, leaders use what political scientists call Diversionary War Theory (or the "Scapegoat" theory). [1, 2]
3. War as a Financial Reset Button
Historically, a major war changes all the rules of global finance. It forces a country's allies to prioritize military survival over debt collection. [1]
4. Forcible Debt Collection (The Reverse Angle)
Historically, bankruptcies have also caused wars because creditors invaded the debtor nation to forcibly seize assets. [1]
Why the U.S. Dynamic is Different
While financial distress historically drives nations to war, a modern U.S. debt crisis would likely not trigger a conventional war for resources. Because the U.S. military budget is already over $1 trillion and the nation possesses thousands of nuclear weapons, no foreign creditor can "force" collection through military means. [1, 2]
Instead, if the U.S. debt burden becomes entirely unmanageable, the conflict would likely play out as a financial and cyber war—where global powers weaponize trade embargoes, supply chain chokepoints, and currency dumping to erode America's economic dominance without ever firing a shot.
Conclusion
Here is the solution!
1. Deliberately escalate global tensions
2. Annex other territories like Venezuela.
3. Start a war with Iran and Russia and get creditors to suspend demand for payments.
4. Use gunboat diplomacy on countries like Iran.
Well this was simply a hypothetical exercise, let's hope this doesn't come to all that. BTW Venezuela is estimated to have $21 trillion in assets based on proven crude oil reserves.
4. Debt Restructuring or Default (The Extreme Measures)
This is the absolute last resort when a nation cannot generate enough revenue or growth to sustain its interest payments.
- Default: Simply refusing to pay back principal or interest on outstanding Treasury securities. This would instantly lower the debt balance but destroy the credit rating of the United States.
- Restructuring: Negotiating with creditors to modify the terms of existing debt. This usually involves extending maturities (giving the US more time to pay) or negotiating "haircuts" (where creditors agree to accept less than 100 cents on the dollar).
Sovereign nations frequently go to war—or deliberately escalate geopolitical tensions—when facing severe financial crisis and impending bankruptcy. [1, 2]
Historically, when a government runs out of money and faces domestic collapse, entering a conflict is rarely an accident. Rather, it is often a calculated survival strategy used by regimes to reset their financial balances or distract their population. [1, 2]
In political science and economics, this behavior is analyzed through a few specific historical patterns:
1. The "Hostile Takeover" of Resources (Iraq & Kuwait)
When a nation’s debt is owed directly to its neighbors and its economy is imploding, a desperate regime may go to war to physically seize assets or erase its debts by force. [1, 2]
- The Historical Case: In 1990, Iraq was effectively bankrupt. It carried a crushing $80 billion debt following its eight-year war with Iran, much of it owed to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Plagued by low oil prices and unable to repay its creditors, Saddam Hussein chose to invade Kuwait. By annexing the country, Iraq attempted to simultaneously wipe out its debt to Kuwait, seize 20% of the world's oil reserves, and dictate global energy prices to pay off its remaining creditors. [1]
2. "Diversionary War" and Regime Survival
When an economy is collapsing, inflation is rampant, and the population is on the verge of revolt, leaders use what political scientists call Diversionary War Theory (or the "Scapegoat" theory). [1, 2]
- The Strategy: A government intentionally provokes an external conflict to trigger a "rally 'round the flag" effect. The war allows the regime to declare a state of emergency, implement martial law, suspend civil liberties, and blame all internal economic misery (like food shortages or inflation) on an external enemy rather than their own financial mismanagement. [1, 2]
- The Historical Case: Facing severe domestic unrest, economic stagnation, and financial pressure in the early 20th century, the Russian Empire deliberately pursued a conflict with Japan in 1904. The Russian Interior Minister famously remarked at the time, "What this country needs is a short, victorious war to stem the tide of revolution." (Though in that case, losing the war accelerated the empire's collapse).
3. War as a Financial Reset Button
Historically, a major war changes all the rules of global finance. It forces a country's allies to prioritize military survival over debt collection. [1]
- Suspending the Rules: When a nation enters a major war, international lenders often pause demands for debt servicing or offer highly subsidized "survival loans" that would never be granted during peacetime. [1]
- The World War I Web: Prior to 1914, European powers like Great Britain, France, and Germany were locked in a dangerous spiral of imperial spending and compound interest. Once World War I broke out, it justified unprecedented domestic government interventions, massive inflation, and the eventual total rewriting of global financial agreements (such as the total repudiation of Tsarist debts by the Soviet Union in 1918). [1, 2, 3]
4. Forcible Debt Collection (The Reverse Angle)
Historically, bankruptcies have also caused wars because creditors invaded the debtor nation to forcibly seize assets. [1]
- Before modern international law, if a country defaulted, foreign powers would deploy their navies—a practice known as Gunboat Diplomacy.
- For example, in 1861, when Mexico suspended payments on its foreign debt, France, Britain, and Spain launched a joint military invasion of Mexico to forcibly extract compliance, leading to a multi-year war and the installation of a French-backed monarch.
Why the U.S. Dynamic is Different
While financial distress historically drives nations to war, a modern U.S. debt crisis would likely not trigger a conventional war for resources. Because the U.S. military budget is already over $1 trillion and the nation possesses thousands of nuclear weapons, no foreign creditor can "force" collection through military means. [1, 2]
Instead, if the U.S. debt burden becomes entirely unmanageable, the conflict would likely play out as a financial and cyber war—where global powers weaponize trade embargoes, supply chain chokepoints, and currency dumping to erode America's economic dominance without ever firing a shot.
Conclusion
Here is the solution!
1. Deliberately escalate global tensions
2. Annex other territories like Venezuela.
3. Start a war with Iran and Russia and get creditors to suspend demand for payments.
4. Use gunboat diplomacy on countries like Iran.
Well this was simply a hypothetical exercise, let's hope this doesn't come to all that. BTW Venezuela is estimated to have $21 trillion in assets based on proven crude oil reserves.