My motto is to take everything anybody say's with a grain of salt no matter how convincing he or she appears to be. Absolutely no human has the ability to be right all the time and when it comes to predictions getting it right is extremely rare.
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There are many paid shills that show up wherever people gather and talk online. People like Dud shill from the same playbook and although some may change things up a bit, over time it's easy to see the pattern.