Mass Choice Charts

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Kafziel

Active member
Dec 28, 2018
102
29
28
#1
I was thinking about a way to predict future outcomes and I started to realize it's actually fairly easy when you're talking about enough people. I mean people generally go different directions, so they tend to head every possible direction collectively. Let me give you this example.

----Car 2 30% ---- (Point B) 30 minutes
(Point A) ---- Bus 1 50% ---- (Point B) 45 minutes
---- Bike 3 20% ---- (Point B) 1 hour

1 : Information says largest percentage take bus
2 : Information says second largest percentage take car
3 : Information says third largest percentage take car

Just a simple example. It's not how this is useful, although you could say based on information you should have a lot of buses. What it's better at is predicting future outcomes. Let's try this example.

---- 70% Law abiding citizens --- (Robots not misused)
(Robots proliferate) ---- 20% Somewhat criminal --- (Robots misused about 50% to 100% chance)
---- 10% Habitually criminal --- (Robots Misused 100% chance)

I just made up the numbers but we can see from our chart that 20%-30% will likely misuse the technology of robots. That's a more solid example of how it can be used, provided you have the information to make that deduction.

What do you think?
 

Kafziel

Active member
Dec 28, 2018
102
29
28
#2
Hmm maybe that was a bit flawed. I'm going to add people take every different path along a long enough timeline.
 

Lynx

Folksy yet erudite
Aug 13, 2014
24,799
8,103
113
#3
I was thinking about a way to predict future outcomes and I started to realize it's actually fairly easy when you're talking about enough people. I mean people generally go different directions, so they tend to head every possible direction collectively. Let me give you this example.

----Car 2 30% ---- (Point B) 30 minutes
(Point A) ---- Bus 1 50% ---- (Point B) 45 minutes
---- Bike 3 20% ---- (Point B) 1 hour

1 : Information says largest percentage take bus
2 : Information says second largest percentage take car
3 : Information says third largest percentage take car

Just a simple example. It's not how this is useful, although you could say based on information you should have a lot of buses. What it's better at is predicting future outcomes. Let's try this example.

---- 70% Law abiding citizens --- (Robots not misused)
(Robots proliferate) ---- 20% Somewhat criminal --- (Robots misused about 50% to 100% chance)
---- 10% Habitually criminal --- (Robots Misused 100% chance)

I just made up the numbers but we can see from our chart that 20%-30% will likely misuse the technology of robots. That's a more solid example of how it can be used, provided you have the information to make that deduction.

What do you think?
They still all wind up at McDonald's or Walmart. :LOL:
 
G

Godsgirl83

Guest
#4
What do you think?
That the thread title is misleading and I just accidentally and unintentionally walked into a complex math scenario........
and on a Friday night too :eek: . My brain has dealt with enough math this week.........
*quickly looks for exit* (sorry)
 

p_rehbein

Senior Member
Sep 4, 2013
30,097
6,480
113
#5
Far too much herb intake results in such Threads IMO

I know it's true, cuz Lynx got the munchies just reading the OP