In 2008 Nate Silver correctly predicted 49 out of 50 states. Today he predicts the odds of Obama winning is over 90%. Which doesn't mean that Obama will get 90% of the vote just that when it is all added up Obama will likely get 313 electoral college votes.
Unlike the vast majority of pundits Nate Silver uses mathematical algorithms based on hundreds of statistical polls, but it is still only a well thought out guess. We'll just have to wait and see wont we.
Anyone want to make a bet?
Unlike the vast majority of pundits Nate Silver uses mathematical algorithms based on hundreds of statistical polls, but it is still only a well thought out guess. We'll just have to wait and see wont we.
Anyone want to make a bet?