@Depleted You, ma'am, are very wrong. The year of 2015 was very quiet hurricane-wise because of the strongest El Nino on record. Please note, accurate weather records have been kept since to 1950s. The El Nino would break apart hurricanes because of the upper level Jetstream and Windshear. However, the El Nino died this past spring, leaving the coastlines quite vulnerable to any storm. Forecasters are predicting a hot and dry summer. The heat will super-heat the ground, causing an almost unlimited supply of fuel, and stalled high pressure systems over the northern Atlantic will not allow a hurricane to "just die out at sea." High pressure would direct a storm towards shore, and with a super-heated surface, it would thrive. Ill give you an example. In 1938, A hurricane formed off the coast of Africa. It moved north, striking the Bahamas, and causing Damage. The National Weather Bureau (changed to National Weather Service in 1970) forecast the storm to travel north, missing the US completely because, "Thats always what happened." They issued an alert for the East Coast, that all ships should remain in port. After the hurricane past Florida, they didnt really know where it was because the only weather tools they had were a thermometer, and a barometer and mariners relayed weather messages back to them. And since they had requested all ships to put into port, there were no observations of the storm. What they didnt know was that 2 High Pressure systems were stalled. One over the Allegheny Mountains, and one about 50-100 miles North of Bermuda. When the Hurricane reached this, it shot through the trough moving 60-80 MPH. A speed that many people have never seen. The summer of '38 was hot and dry, so when the storm reached New England, it reacted as if it was still travelling over water. In the wake of the storm, 300-500 people were dead, and billions of dollars of damage was caused. So yes, it can happen. And it has. Weather people have an incredibly tough job, so I got offended when people talk bad about them. No one can be 100% sure about the weather. It is constantly changing. And if you are arrogant, and not respective of it, it WILL kill you.