What is totally askew in this market is that stocks and bonds are both looking horrible. Usually, if we were going into a depression people would move from stocks to bonds. But because of the inflation we have to raise interest rates significantly over the next year so bonds will get crushed. Therefore a lot of money is moving to buy up homes (Blackrock, etc).
So yes, housing prices may stay high for awhile, but the problem is that as interest rates rise individuals will be priced out of the market. Today I heard that 70+% of restaurants think they could go bankrupt shortly and 50% of all small businesses think this could happen. Inflation is crushing disposable income. When these people lose their jobs the housing market will collapse.
Suppose six months ago you had 1 million dollars invested as your savings / retirement account. You aren't rich but you are feeling quite safe. Due to inflation you lost 20% so your 1 million today buys what $800,000 bought a year ago. But it is worse. the stock market and bond market has come down by 30%. So then you only have $700k in your account today and that has lost 20% of its purchasing power so it is equivalent to about $560 K a year ago.
Think about that, this can cause people to panic.
And it is worse. I knew someone who had $1 million in Bitcoin last October. That is down to 300k today.
So yes, housing prices may stay high for awhile, but the problem is that as interest rates rise individuals will be priced out of the market. Today I heard that 70+% of restaurants think they could go bankrupt shortly and 50% of all small businesses think this could happen. Inflation is crushing disposable income. When these people lose their jobs the housing market will collapse.
Suppose six months ago you had 1 million dollars invested as your savings / retirement account. You aren't rich but you are feeling quite safe. Due to inflation you lost 20% so your 1 million today buys what $800,000 bought a year ago. But it is worse. the stock market and bond market has come down by 30%. So then you only have $700k in your account today and that has lost 20% of its purchasing power so it is equivalent to about $560 K a year ago.
Think about that, this can cause people to panic.
And it is worse. I knew someone who had $1 million in Bitcoin last October. That is down to 300k today.