Analysis of the current situation
1. Russia has a hypersonic missile that we are unable to defend against. By itself it is highly accurate and destructive, but it can also be made nuclear. This is an advantage and the whole world realizes this.
2. For how long? Don't you think right now that US, Japanese and German engineers are working on making our own hypersonic missiles and laser systems for defending against this? With quantum computers and AI how long will it take for us? I would highly doubt that Russia holds this advantage for more than six months.
3. With the threat of nuclear war the US will place nuclear missiles that are mobile within Europe and particularly Germany. That will certainly be an existential threat to Russia. How long till that happens? Six months?
4. With Trump back in charge of the US and NATO how quickly are things going to change?
5. The ruble is collapsing. We have a global recession that I believe is due to AI replacing jobs. One impact of that is decreased consumption of gasoline and diesel. The layoffs from AI are going to increase exponentially next year. So then, where will Russia be economically in six months?
6. The Chinese economy is also collapsing. The 3d printer has decimated cheap manufacturing in China. In six months where will they be?
However, if Russia and China act now it is possible that the switch from the US dollar to BRICS will be a big plus to their economies. Russia has issued the warning, but they know in a matter of months that warning will no longer carry the same weight. Right now Russia holds the upper hand, but in a matter of months when nuclear weapons are in Germany the warning time for Russia will be too short and that by itself will spark an existential crisis for both Russia and Germany.