Good to be open minded....Just to repeat myself once again
The concern is that the regular flu has treatments and is known thing, most do not require ventilation and if they do only for a few days. The regular flu is over several months. The regular does not incubate for 10 days.
I pray they fall sharply I pray for a treatment or we are really in trouble.. soon as we start moving around it will start up again .. the will use the tracking devices on our phones.
So yes troubling.
I covered those points pretty much in the post you responded to....with the exception that you say about flu cases"
most do not require ventilation, and if they do only for a few days". I have no experience in that area....when nearly 25,000 Italians died during the 2016/2017 flu season I have no idea how many had to go on a ventilator....1%, 10% 50%.....no idea. If you can link something that would be awesome.
As for the incubation period....around 5 days prior to symptoms, and 14 days even afterwards......I don't know how in the names of Saints Peter and Paul this thing can be stopped.
I don't know what the situation is like in the United States, but I can't imagine its much different from my own native Ontario Canada.
I have an aunt, a healthy wonderful woman of 86 or so years of age....she is a peach and I adore her, of my mother's siblings she is most like my Mom who passed away almost 15 years ago. My Mom stipulated 'no heroic measures'.....she went to her reward with peace, grace and dignity. This earthly life we all have is finite....life on this plane has a mortality rate of 100%.
But getting back to my Aunt and how, in my opinion, it is going to be nigh on impossible to stop this thing. My aunt lives in a senior living center, in the independent living wing....its like being an apartment. After that comes assisted living for people who need some help and it progresses from there to the palliative care wing.
What we're seeing in Ontario is that when the Coronavirus gets into a place like this....its like a tornado. In one facility in northern Ontario the fatality rate among residents is probably now up around 50%. I just checked, 28 deaths in a facility with 65 beds....so far. Global is a mainstream Canadian news outlet:
https://globalnews.ca/news/6787645/coronavirus-bobcaygeon-nursing-home-death-toll-28/
But how do you stop it??? All the workers who come in, the cooks and the cleaners, nurses, PSWs and doctors.....maintenance people....you can't lock them down, they're essential. And all of them are going out shopping, to gas stations and drug stores. Then you have a company like Amazon, their workers are complaining that they're still working in close confines with others because of the nature of the job....and there isn't enough PPE to go around.
Will they be able to stop it from getting into my Aunt's building? I don't see how, its only a matter of time with or without lock down measures. Sure we're shuttering a lot of small businesses, but the grocery stores and pharmacies as well as all the businesses that supply them are still operating....I have'n't seen reporting on it, but its probably only 20 or 30% of the workforce that isn't out there working because very few workplaces are an island....there is so much interdependence......telephone and hydro techs have to keep communications and the grid operating or all the work now being done virtually would stop.
I could go on.....but my big worry is for the (my best guess) 20 or 30% of people who aren't out there.....how much death and destruction will these lock downs have on them? And back to my aunt....maybe I could have her move in with me, but I'm still working because I'm essential....I'm the only one going out for food and medications and for my job. What do I do? Have my wife/son/aunt isolate themselves in a room of the house and pass them meals solitary confinement style through a slot or on a double door type tray??? What kind of life is that for an 86 year old who doesn't have many more years of this life left?
Coming up on 18,000 dead now in Italy.....how high will it go? Nobody knows. Its trending lower now and hopefully that continues....the NYC dept of health studied the first 1,600 deaths in that city and found only 24 of them were people who did NOT have an underlying health issue...the median age was 75. I'm watching Sweden closely, as expected it looks like their numbers are spiking high and fast, as should be expected. We shall see if the outbreak is over and done with much faster there, and in the end whether the overall mortality is better, worse or about the same when all is said and done.
Keep well....