Remember Midterm Projections based solely upon historic trends DO NOT APPLY during TODAY's COMPLETELY UNPRECEDENTED GREAT AWAKENING 'TRUTH-PILL & TRUTH BOMB' SCENARIO!!!
Polls are relative… and credibility matters…
Use your own DISCERNMENT regarding the SOURCEs of all POLLING Data...
But when Honest POLLSTER's from Questionable Networks report Unprecedented MATH - recognize when MATH MATTERS!!!
The MID-TERMS are SAFE - thanks to the GROWING GREAT AWAKENING STORM of TRUTH BOMBS!!!
Darline Graham Nordone was sitting at a 𝟏𝟒% 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 to win the special election for her late brother Lindsey Graham's Senate seat. Then President Trump endorsed her. Her odds on prediction markets 𝐣𝐮𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝟖𝟎% almost immediately. Senator Graham d∗ed on July 11 after a sudden illness; Gov. Henry McMaster appointed his sister to hold the seat, and candidate filing for the special primary opened this week.
CNN data analyst Harry Enten put that swing in context on air. “𝘕𝘰 𝘸𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳 𝘸𝘩𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘸𝘪𝘴𝘥𝘰𝘮 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘥 𝘴𝘰 𝘳𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘥𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱 𝘮𝘢𝘥𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘚𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘦𝘴, 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱'𝘴 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳, 100%.”
The receipts back him up. Trump-backed candidates won 𝟗𝟑% 𝐨𝐟 𝐆𝐎𝐏 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟐 and 98% in 2020, and they're running at 97% again this cycle (Ballotpedia). Enten's on-screen graphic also put Trump's own-party approval at 𝟖𝟑% at this stage of a second term — ahead of both Bush's and Obama's 77% at the same point.
“𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘯𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘣𝘰𝘥𝘺 𝘐 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘢𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘶𝘭 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴, 𝘋𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘥 𝘑𝘰𝘩𝘯 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱.” Even CNN's own numbers guy is saying it out loud.
𝐀𝐧 𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬𝐧'𝐭 𝐚 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞. 𝐈𝐭'𝐬 𝐚 𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.

Fox News' own power rankings are handing Republicans a road map, and it runs straight through a state the GOP hasn't won a Senate race in since 1996.
Michigan has been drifting away from Democrats every cycle: a Democrat won the seat by 𝟔.𝟓 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖, dropped to a 1.7-point win in 2020, and by 2024 the margin had collapsed to 𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐞-𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐡𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭. Fox still labels the seat "leaning Democrat" heading into 2026, but Trump-endorsed Mike Rogers is running in a race that's trended red for eight straight years.
The map cuts both ways, just not evenly. Democrats are counting on James Talarico to knock off Ken Paxton in Texas, a state where Democrats haven't won a Senate race since 1990 — the closest anyone's come since was Beto O'Rourke's 2.6-point loss to Ted Cruz in 2018. Flipping Michigan is a demonstrated eight-year trend. Flipping Texas would be a 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐫𝐭𝐲-𝐬𝐢𝐱-𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐝𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭-𝐛𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐫.
Nationally the picture is murkier — Fox's generic ballot now shows voters favoring Democrats by about four points, a five-point swing from the one-point Republican edge in 2024, with the House majority riding on sixteen toss-up seats. But the Senate math is simpler. If Rogers holds Michigan, Democrats can't reach a majority, full stop.
𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞, 𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐭, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐫𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐡 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬.

Polls are relative… and credibility matters…
Use your own DISCERNMENT regarding the SOURCEs of all POLLING Data...
But when Honest POLLSTER's from Questionable Networks report Unprecedented MATH - recognize when MATH MATTERS!!!
The MID-TERMS are SAFE - thanks to the GROWING GREAT AWAKENING STORM of TRUTH BOMBS!!!
M.A. Rothman
𝐂𝐍𝐍'𝐒 𝐇𝐀𝐑𝐑𝐘 𝐄𝐍𝐓𝐄𝐍: 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏'𝐒 𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐎𝐑𝐒𝐄𝐌𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐒𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐃𝐀𝐑𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐄 𝐆𝐑𝐀𝐇𝐀𝐌'𝐒 𝐎𝐃𝐃𝐒 𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐌 𝟏𝟒% 𝐓𝐎 𝟖𝟎% 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐆𝐇𝐓Darline Graham Nordone was sitting at a 𝟏𝟒% 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 to win the special election for her late brother Lindsey Graham's Senate seat. Then President Trump endorsed her. Her odds on prediction markets 𝐣𝐮𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝟖𝟎% almost immediately. Senator Graham d∗ed on July 11 after a sudden illness; Gov. Henry McMaster appointed his sister to hold the seat, and candidate filing for the special primary opened this week.
CNN data analyst Harry Enten put that swing in context on air. “𝘕𝘰 𝘸𝘰𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳 𝘸𝘩𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘸𝘪𝘴𝘥𝘰𝘮 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘥 𝘴𝘰 𝘳𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘥𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱 𝘮𝘢𝘥𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘚𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘦𝘴, 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱'𝘴 𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳, 100%.”
The receipts back him up. Trump-backed candidates won 𝟗𝟑% 𝐨𝐟 𝐆𝐎𝐏 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟐 and 98% in 2020, and they're running at 97% again this cycle (Ballotpedia). Enten's on-screen graphic also put Trump's own-party approval at 𝟖𝟑% at this stage of a second term — ahead of both Bush's and Obama's 77% at the same point.
“𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘯𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘣𝘰𝘥𝘺 𝘐 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘢𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘶𝘭 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴, 𝘋𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘥 𝘑𝘰𝘩𝘯 𝘛𝘳𝘶𝘮𝘱.” Even CNN's own numbers guy is saying it out loud.
𝐀𝐧 𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬𝐧'𝐭 𝐚 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞. 𝐈𝐭'𝐬 𝐚 𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.

M.A. Rothman
𝐌𝐈𝐊𝐄 𝐑𝐎𝐆𝐄𝐑𝐒 𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐈𝐋𝐒 𝐁𝐘 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝟎.𝟑 𝐏𝐎𝐈𝐍𝐓𝐒 𝐈𝐍 𝐌𝐈𝐂𝐇𝐈𝐆𝐀𝐍 — 𝐀 𝐆𝐎𝐏 𝐖𝐈𝐍 𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐑𝐄 𝐄𝐍𝐃𝐒 𝐃𝐄𝐌𝐎𝐂𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐒' 𝐒𝐄𝐍𝐀𝐓𝐄 𝐇𝐎𝐏𝐄𝐒Fox News' own power rankings are handing Republicans a road map, and it runs straight through a state the GOP hasn't won a Senate race in since 1996.
Michigan has been drifting away from Democrats every cycle: a Democrat won the seat by 𝟔.𝟓 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖, dropped to a 1.7-point win in 2020, and by 2024 the margin had collapsed to 𝐭𝐡𝐫𝐞𝐞-𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐡𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭. Fox still labels the seat "leaning Democrat" heading into 2026, but Trump-endorsed Mike Rogers is running in a race that's trended red for eight straight years.
The map cuts both ways, just not evenly. Democrats are counting on James Talarico to knock off Ken Paxton in Texas, a state where Democrats haven't won a Senate race since 1990 — the closest anyone's come since was Beto O'Rourke's 2.6-point loss to Ted Cruz in 2018. Flipping Michigan is a demonstrated eight-year trend. Flipping Texas would be a 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐫𝐭𝐲-𝐬𝐢𝐱-𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐝𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭-𝐛𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐫.
Nationally the picture is murkier — Fox's generic ballot now shows voters favoring Democrats by about four points, a five-point swing from the one-point Republican edge in 2024, with the House majority riding on sixteen toss-up seats. But the Senate math is simpler. If Rogers holds Michigan, Democrats can't reach a majority, full stop.
𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞, 𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐭, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐫𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐡 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬.














