Boom
This is what Economic Warfare looks like… the Art of War meets the Art of the Deal…
M.A. Rothman
𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏 𝐓𝐎 𝐅𝐎𝐗 𝐍𝐄𝐖𝐒: 𝐈𝐑𝐀𝐍 𝐇𝐀𝐒 𝐀𝐁𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐓𝐇𝐑𝐄𝐄 𝐃𝐀𝐘𝐒 𝐁𝐄𝐅𝐎𝐑𝐄 𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐈𝐑 𝐎𝐈𝐋 𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐑𝐀𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐂𝐓𝐔𝐑𝐄 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐋𝐎𝐃𝐄𝐒 — 𝐋𝐈𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘Trump, explaining what happens when a sanctions blockade meets a regime that cannot move its product:
“𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘷𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘢𝘮𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘪𝘭 𝘱𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘴𝘺𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘮, 𝘪𝘧 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯’𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱𝘴 — 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘮, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘯𝘰 𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘣𝘭𝘰𝘤𝘬𝘢𝘥𝘦 — 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘩𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘯𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘦 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘭𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯, 𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘩 𝘮𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘩.”
“𝘈𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘪𝘵 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘭𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘴, 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘯𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘳𝘦𝘣𝘶𝘪𝘭𝘥 𝘪𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘺 𝘪𝘵 𝘸𝘢𝘴. 𝘐𝘧 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘳𝘦𝘣𝘶𝘪𝘭𝘥 𝘪𝘵, 𝘪𝘵’𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 50% 𝘰𝘧 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘯𝘰𝘸.”
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐫𝐡𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜. 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐡𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐜𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐝𝐞 𝐩𝐢𝐩𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐧𝐨 𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐦 𝐨𝐟𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐚𝐝. Iran is the world’s ninth-largest oil producer (EIA, 2025), pumping roughly 3.3 million barrels a day. With the U.S./Israeli naval blockade still cutting their export shipping, their onshore tank farms at Kharg Island and Bandar Abbas are 𝐚𝐭 𝐨𝐫 𝐧𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐜𝐚𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐢𝐭𝐲.
“𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘴𝘩𝘦𝘥 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦. 𝘈 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘣𝘢𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘴 𝘨𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘯. 𝘚𝘰 𝘐 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘬 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺’𝘳𝘦 𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦.”
Translation: in roughly three days the regime either fires every centrifuge facility in the desert in a final tantrum, or they sue for terms.
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐰𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐟𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤𝐬 𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐉𝐨𝐞 𝐁𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧.
𝘝𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘰 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 @𝘑𝘦𝘸𝘪𝘴𝘩𝘞𝘢𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘰𝘳13
