Are they shooting a new apocalyptic movie in LA?

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Socreta93

Senior Member
Jul 28, 2015
2,306
362
83
#61
People would be surprise how much local governments have been incompetent during these natural disasters throughout history. Look up the 1985 Armero Volcano tragedy in Colombia
 

ZNP

Well-known member
Sep 14, 2020
37,858
6,977
113
#62
I'm of the opinion that people should have sympathy, shouldn't mock or be nonchalant about the innocent people living there just because it's a state where you don't like their politics
I have not seen anyone mocking
 

ZNP

Well-known member
Sep 14, 2020
37,858
6,977
113
#63

This was their plan all along.
 

ZNP

Well-known member
Sep 14, 2020
37,858
6,977
113
#64
Wow!

OK, I did some simple calculations. They said that 17,000 acres have been burned. So I took the average population density of Los Angeles county per acre and multiplied by 17,000 and got 220,000 people. Now consider how many stores that would also include. Now imagine the cost of an entire city of 220,000 people being burned to the ground (and note, the fire is not over, not by a long shot). That would be like Birmingham Alabama or Scottsdale Arizona burning to the ground. Now what happens when you have 220,000 refugees? Also there must be many people impacted because the place where they worked burned to the ground.

Now remember, their estimate of 17,000 acres burned is likely to be conservative and when all is said and done it will be much worse. I have noticed this on many disasters. At the time they estimate a certain amount of damage, you go back two years later and look it up and you find that the real number was generally twice what they told you at the time. For example in 2006, one year after Hurricane Katrina they estimated 40-50 billion in monetary losses (https://rwkates.org/pdfs/a2006.03.pdf). Today if you look it up Wikipedia has $125 billion in losses.

I also looked up the average home price in Los Angeles, it is almost $1 million. This fire may wind up costing over $100 billion.

If the final result of this is double the size of what they have told us you are looking at a city the size of Atlanta or Kansas city burning to the ground.
This article printed yesterday says that the total acres burned now is

A total of 36,386 total acres have burned in seven total fires in the last four days in the Los Angeles area. That is the equivalent of 57 square miles.

That is double what we were told the day before.

Thursday -- 17,000 acres

Friday -- 36,000 acres

https://www.ksbw.com/article/la-wildfires-santa-cruz-hollister-salinas/63396859