Replacement theology? Yes or No.

[Revelation1v8]

Abraham is also the father of many nations, not only through Ishmael and the children of Keturah, but spiritually through the gospel of Christ.

The seed of Ishmael was not called to inherit the land.

According to biblical texts, the covenant promises and the specific inheritance of the Promised Land were established exclusively through Isaac, not Ishmael. God explicitly rejected Abraham’s plea to bless Ishmael with the covenant, stating, "But my covenant will I establish with Isaac" (Genesis 17:21). While Ishmael was blessed with fruitfulness and became a great nation, he was bypassed as the heir of the Abrahamic covenant, which designates the land of Canaan as an everlasting possession for the descendants of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob.

Biblical Narrative: Ishmael received other blessings and lands outside the specific covenant of Canaan, such as the wilderness of Paran, and was circumcised but excluded from the primary covenant line.

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[Revelation1v8]

These all inherit the new heavens and new earth together with Abraham Isaac and Jacob.
It is the same inheritance.

Yes, anyone can inherit the new heaven and new earth who come to God/Jesus through faith. That doesn't mean that any of us were intended to inherit the promised land, although we will inherit the rest of the earth during the 1,000 years mentioned in Revelation 20 and throughout the Old Testament. Then we will see the new heaven and earth come into existence and none of it will matter.

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[God-fearing]

Could God’s word be any clearer? The Kingdom of God was theirs but they rejected their appointed High Priest and had him put to death as an imposter….a blasphemer! Why would God bless a nation who did not ever obey him for longer than five minutes? And who disrespected him and murdered his appointed Savior! Read the whole of Matt ch 23 and see what Jesus said about the leaders of his own people.

The “nation bringing forth its fruits” were founded on the Jewish followers of Christ Jesus…..the entirety of the NT was written by them and yet, they were all natural Jews…a “remnant” of that nation, that would be saved, as it was foretold. (Rom 9:27)
What did God change in these natural Jews that joined them to the gentiles that were invited to replace a disobedient nation? (Acts 15:14) “A people for his name”.

Gal 6:15-16 NASB…
“For neither is circumcision anything, nor uncircumcision, but a new creation. And those who will walk by this rule, peace and mercy be upon them, and upon the Israel of God.”

Christ’s anointed disciples were to be a “new creation”….no longer bound by Israel’s laws, (such as circumcision) these would operate under a “new covenant” and they would be a peaceful people and from among them “the Israel of God” were chosen….as “ a royal priesthood and a holy nation”…..so all saved ones would include both Jewish and Gentile Christians.

Jesus himself said to the Jewish leaders….and by extension, those who adhered to their teachings and condoned their conduct….
“Jerusalem, Jerusalem, who kills the prophets and stones those who are sent to her! How often I wanted to gather your children together, the way a hen gathers her chicks under her wings, and you were unwilling. Behold, your house is being left to you desolate! For I say to you, from now on you will not see Me until you say, ‘Blessed is he who comes in the name of the Lord” (Matt 23:37-39 NASB)

A sad lament…
He was quoting Psalm 118: 26 and in the Jewish Tanakh, God’s name, “Yahweh” is there in the text, twice..

26Blessed be he who has come in the name of the Lord; we have blessed you from the house of the Lord.

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כובָּר֣וּךְ הַ֖בָּא בְּשֵׁ֣ם יְהֹוָ֑ה בֵּֽ֜רַכְנוּכֶ֗ם מִבֵּ֥ית יְהֹוָֽה:

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So they needed to bless the one who came “in Yahweh’s name” back then, as well as today…..something the natural Jews have refused to do for thousands of years. Stubborn and unmovable as they have always been, counting on their lineage to Abraham as if their disobedience means nothing. (Matt 3:7-10; Matt 21:43)

There is not going to be any last minute miracle as the people of that nation have had as much, if not more notice of God’s intentions….and to identify their Messiah from their own Scripture.
They have unsanctioned blood on their hands. (Isa 1:15)
Their failure will cost them dearly.

The leopard has not changed its spots. Yet anyone from any nation is acceptable to God if they follow the teachings of God’s Son. No nationality is excluded….we are to preach the gospel (good news) to “people of all nations” …”and then the end will come.” (Matt 24:14)

So the prayers and pleas of Jesus to forgive and the repeated statements of no man takes my life I lay it down for I have that power and also the power to pick it up again is null and void?
Isaiah 53 8 says it pleased the lord to bruise him. Also it was told before hand that Jesus would be rejected.
Pslams 22 is a clear picture of that rejection.
Jesus rebukes Peter aka Satan when Peter protest against Jesus's fate.
The duel ministry that Christ had and has as Jewish messiah and savior of the Gentiles will come to pass. Fulfilling all that was promised.
God siad he will do it for his name sake, are you saying his name remains marred forever?
Jesus is the high priest according to Melchizedek which is mercy triumph over judgment.
God himself shall come to tabernacle with his people in the end. All of the old shall pass away.