The US Joins WW3
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State of Emergency in Louisianna due to shortage of Diesel, State of Emergency in Hawaii due to incoming hurricane and State of Emergency in California due to Hurricane.
- At least 5 countries are actively rationing fuel or facing empty pump scenarios due to the ongoing refined-product squeeze. [1]
- 🗒 Specific nations implementing direct rationing or severe caps include:
- Sri Lanka: Re-implemented a QR-code-based National Fuel Pass for weekly diesel and petrol limits.
- Myanmar: Instituted odd-even license plate rules to restrict daily purchases.
- Bangladesh: Enforced strict vehicle fuel rationing and early holiday closures.
- Slovenia: Imposed per-day limits on private and commercial fuel fills.
- Moldova: Declared broader emergency/alert states as part of compounding energy and resource shortages
- Crimea (Russia-controlled): Formally declared a local state of emergency due to severe domestic fuel shortages driven by refinery disruptions and the broader conflict.
France: Avoided a blanket national emergency but rushed out sweeping €450 million emergency interventions and subsidies as diesel prices hit record highs and roughly 14% of filling stations ran completely dry. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Pakistan, Kenya and Ethiopia have all been hit hard by the 2026 global energy crisis. Each country has rolled out sweeping, emergency-style interventions—ranging from strict energy rationing and commercial shutdowns to multi-billion-dollar supply restructurings—to survive the severe macro-economic pressure. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Pakistan: Mandatory Early Closures & 50% Fuel CutsPakistan has enacted some of the most visible emergency conservation measures in South Asia. Because the nation faces critical winter gas and fuel shortages due to ongoing shipping blockades and Red Sea detours, the government implemented a strict, mandatory three-month conservation mandate: [1, 2]
- Commercial Lockdowns: All markets, bazaars, and shopping malls must close strictly by 9:00 PM; wedding halls by 10:00 PM; and restaurants by 11:00 PM. [1, 2]
- State Fleet Rationing: Fuel allocations for official government vehicles have been cut by 50%, alongside absolute bans on the state purchase of new vehicles and non-essential foreign travel. [1, 2]
- Public Relief: To mitigate public unrest as high-speed diesel prices hit an eighth consecutive record increase, the government launched a targeted fuel relief scheme providing a 100-rupee-per-liter subsidy on petrol for low-income motorcycle and auto-rickshaw operators. [1, 2]
Ethiopia: Half-Supply Shocks & Prioritization EmergencyEthiopia experienced massive structural disruptions when 180,000 metric tons of fuel failed to arrive due to Middle East war chokepoints. This slashed the country's daily white diesel supply by half—from 9.2 million liters down to just 4.5 million liters—forcing the Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration to declare immediate emergency fuel distribution measures. [1, 2]
- Rationing & Logistics: Cargo lines from Djibouti were prioritized to restore baseline operations. The state enacted strict prioritization rules to route remaining diesel exclusively to critical agriculture, heavy transit, and public transport infrastructure. [1, 2]
- Subsidies: The government continues to inject massive financial buffers to stave off economic collapse, spending billions of birr to heavily subsidize diesel and gasoline at the pump. [1]
Kenya: Forex Defenses & Lower-Quality Fuel WaiversKenya has successfully managed to keep its local pumps running without broad shortages, but doing so required dramatic emergency policy pivots and state intervention to combat a crippling U.S. dollar shortage exacerbated by the soaring import costs of refined oil. [1, 2]
- The G2G Credit Shield: Kenya fundamentally restructured its import economy by relying on a strict Government-to-Government (G2G) framework. By negotiating 180-day credit terms with Gulf oil majors (like Aramco and ADNOC), the government bypasses immediate USD requirements, preserving its national foreign exchange reserves.
- Quality Waivers: At the peak of the import constraints, Kenya passed an emergency mandate waiving its standard fuel quality regulations, allowing lower-grade fuel imports to enter the country to ensure logistics and supply lines didn't freeze completely. [1, 2, 3, 4]
If it were the spring and farmers were plowing and panting 6.20-6.50 fuel would be bad. Everyone would hope that the price would fall back to normal across the summer. The difference in the fall harvest is that the whole years crop is on the line and it's make it or break it time so the extra cost just has to be extended to the consumers buying the corn,and wheat and all the rest of the groceries we eat because it's too late to wait for the diesel prices to go back down. People think they pay too much already but the 6.50 diesel markup from the fall harvest hasn't even hit the store shelves yet. May as well get use to eating less food before the prices all double and stock up on beans and rice and such.
State of Emergency in Louisianna due to shortage of Diesel, State of Emergency in Hawaii due to incoming hurricane and State of Emergency in California due to Hurricane.
Bangladesh & Vietnam: Enacted swift emergency interventions, with Bangladesh rationing vehicle fuel and closing universities early, and Vietnam suspending VAT and environmental taxes to stave off economic paralysis.
- At least 5 countries are actively rationing fuel or facing empty pump scenarios due to the ongoing refined-product squeeze. [1]
- 🗒 Specific nations implementing direct rationing or severe caps include:
- Sri Lanka: Re-implemented a QR-code-based National Fuel Pass for weekly diesel and petrol limits.
- Myanmar: Instituted odd-even license plate rules to restrict daily purchases.
- Bangladesh: Enforced strict vehicle fuel rationing and early holiday closures.
- Slovenia: Imposed per-day limits on private and commercial fuel fills.
- Moldova: Declared broader emergency/alert states as part of compounding energy and resource shortages
- Crimea (Russia-controlled): Formally declared a local state of emergency due to severe domestic fuel shortages driven by refinery disruptions and the broader conflict.
France: Avoided a blanket national emergency but rushed out sweeping €450 million emergency interventions and subsidies as diesel prices hit record highs and roughly 14% of filling stations ran completely dry. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Pakistan, Kenya and Ethiopia have all been hit hard by the 2026 global energy crisis. Each country has rolled out sweeping, emergency-style interventions—ranging from strict energy rationing and commercial shutdowns to multi-billion-dollar supply restructurings—to survive the severe macro-economic pressure. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Pakistan has enacted some of the most visible emergency conservation measures in South Asia. Because the nation faces critical winter gas and fuel shortages due to ongoing shipping blockades and Red Sea detours, the government implemented a strict, mandatory three-month conservation mandate: [1, 2]
- Commercial Lockdowns: All markets, bazaars, and shopping malls must close strictly by 9:00 PM; wedding halls by 10:00 PM; and restaurants by 11:00 PM. [1, 2]
- State Fleet Rationing: Fuel allocations for official government vehicles have been cut by 50%, alongside absolute bans on the state purchase of new vehicles and non-essential foreign travel. [1, 2]
- Public Relief: To mitigate public unrest as high-speed diesel prices hit an eighth consecutive record increase, the government launched a targeted fuel relief scheme providing a 100-rupee-per-liter subsidy on petrol for low-income motorcycle and auto-rickshaw operators. [1, 2]
Ethiopia experienced massive structural disruptions when 180,000 metric tons of fuel failed to arrive due to Middle East war chokepoints. This slashed the country's daily white diesel supply by half—from 9.2 million liters down to just 4.5 million liters—forcing the Ministry of Trade and Regional Integration to declare immediate emergency fuel distribution measures. [1, 2]
- Rationing & Logistics: Cargo lines from Djibouti were prioritized to restore baseline operations. The state enacted strict prioritization rules to route remaining diesel exclusively to critical agriculture, heavy transit, and public transport infrastructure. [1, 2]
- Subsidies: The government continues to inject massive financial buffers to stave off economic collapse, spending billions of birr to heavily subsidize diesel and gasoline at the pump. [1]/
Kenya has successfully managed to keep its local pumps running without broad shortages, but doing so required dramatic emergency policy pivots and state intervention to combat a crippling U.S. dollar shortage exacerbated by the soaring import costs of refined oil. [1, 2]
- The G2G Credit Shield: Kenya fundamentally restructured its import economy by relying on a strict Government-to-Government (G2G) framework. By negotiating 180-day credit terms with Gulf oil majors (like Aramco and ADNOC), the government bypasses immediate USD requirements, preserving its national foreign exchange reserves.
- Quality Waivers: At the peak of the import constraints, Kenya passed an emergency mandate waiving its standard fuel quality regulations, allowing lower-grade fuel imports to enter the country to ensure logistics and supply lines didn't freeze completely. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Not sure who all is following what your trying to show about the diesel/food/harvest equation but keep trying to get it across. There's news article after article from the US farm report, Ag-day and YT videos ect. about the impacts of cost at the grocery stores and the shortages of fertilizer, diesel prices ect. and the fall harvest in 2026. It looks as if this is about to sneak up on the vast majority from the way some are responding when anyone post something on it. Maybe it's best to just be blunt and say look people we are past the pivot point of fixing this this year and the grocery prices are about to double if not triple at best. when all the prices goes up in a few months there's going to be things like staple foods that people are going to buy in a panic and shelves will be empty because of it. Things like a .92 cent can of beans jumping to 3.00 a can will wake them up i guess.lol.
The conflict in the Persian Gulf and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a severe global fertilizer shortage. Because the Middle East produces and ships roughly one-third of the world’s fertilizers (and a massive share of the natural gas needed to make them), countries reliant on agricultural imports have been hit hard. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
The nations and regions experiencing the most critical fertilizer shortages and vulnerabilities include:
Sub-Saharan AfricaMany African nations struggle to secure physical shipments at all due to soaring prices and severe supply chain disruptions. [1]
- Sudan: Extremely vulnerable, as it imports over half of its fertilizer directly from Gulf states while already navigating active famine and food insecurity. [1]
- Regional Impact: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that limited fertilizer access across Sub-Saharan Africa puts up to 20 million people at an increased risk of hunger. [1]
South and Southeast AsiaRationing and gas shortages are hampering agricultural yields across these heavy rice- and vegetable-producing regions. [1]
- Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka: Highlighted as exceptionally vulnerable. For instance, local fertilizer factories in parts of South Asia have been forced to operate at just 70% capacity due to regional natural gas shortages. [1]
- India: While India holds stable domestic reserves, it is heavily exposed because it traditionally imports roughly 40% of its urea and phosphate from the Middle East. The government has had to spend massive sums—exceeding 3 trillion rupees ($31 billion)—on emergency subsidies to protect farmers. [1, 2]
- Vietnam: Farmers have faced dwindling supplies and high input costs right at the start of crucial planting seasons. [1]
Latin AmericaBrazil: As one of the world's largest agricultural exporters, Brazil is almost entirely reliant on foreign fertilizer imports. Local prices jumped over 35%, forcing domestic industries to request emergency government subsidies to cover the soaring cost of imported sulfur. [1, 2]
This makes an incredible observation that I had not considered.
He points out that these countries that are exporting oil are only exporting 1/3rd of the oil they produce. So when these countries are at war they are not going to reduce their own consumption. So if oil production is down 15% it means oil exports are down 50%.
So that means you have to add South Korea, Japan, India and Germany to the list of countries where this is an existential crisis. Granted, these countries have large Strategic Oil Reserves that can last 200+ days. But what happens at the end of April if this is still a problem? Right now we are looking at tens of millions of starving refugees due to famine, but if this continues for another 200 days the crisis becomes impossible to describe, it would be the greatest tribulation the world has ever seen.
The Middle East War Is Changing Fast — Pedram Reveals What’s Really Happening
He points out that these countries that are exporting oil are only exporting 1/3rd of the oil they produce. So when these countries are at war they are not going to reduce their own consumption. So if oil production is down 15% it means oil exports are down 50%.
So that means you have to add South Korea, Japan, India and Germany to the list of countries where this is an existential crisis. Granted, these countries have large Strategic Oil Reserves that can last 200+ days. But what happens at the end of April if this is still a problem? Right now we are looking at tens of millions of starving refugees due to famine, but if this continues for another 200 days the crisis becomes impossible to describe, it would be the greatest tribulation the world has ever seen.
The conflict in the Persian Gulf and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a severe global fertilizer shortage. Because the Middle East produces and ships roughly one-third of the world’s fertilizers (and a massive share of the natural gas needed to make them), countries reliant on agricultural imports have been hit hard. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
The nations and regions experiencing the most critical fertilizer shortages and vulnerabilities include:
Many African nations struggle to secure physical shipments at all due to soaring prices and severe supply chain disruptions. [1]
- Sudan: Extremely vulnerable, as it imports over half of its fertilizer directly from Gulf states while already navigating active famine and food insecurity. [1]
- Regional Impact: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that limited fertilizer access across Sub-Saharan Africa puts up to 20 million people at an increased risk of hunger. [1]
Rationing and gas shortages are hampering agricultural yields across these heavy rice- and vegetable-producing regions. [1]
- Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Sri Lanka: Highlighted as exceptionally vulnerable. For instance, local fertilizer factories in parts of South Asia have been forced to operate at just 70% capacity due to regional natural gas shortages. [1]
- India: While India holds stable domestic reserves, it is heavily exposed because it traditionally imports roughly 40% of its urea and phosphate from the Middle East. The government has had to spend massive sums—exceeding 3 trillion rupees ($31 billion)—on emergency subsidies to protect farmers. [1, 2]
- Vietnam: Farmers have faced dwindling supplies and high input costs right at the start of crucial planting seasons. [1]
Brazil: As one of the world's largest agricultural exporters, Brazil is almost entirely reliant on foreign fertilizer imports. Local prices jumped over 35%, forcing domestic industries to request emergency government subsidies to cover the soaring cost of imported sulfur. [1, 2]
You should also look into some of the current Texas news. Texas is about 875 miles wide east to west and about 800 miles north to south. So not only are there farmers in panic mode over the cost of diesel for their tractors to harvest the truck drivers are considering parking their rigs because of the price over distance and the amount of fuel it takes verses the profit they would make. Which has some doing the math and making them think it's cheaper to just let this years crop dry up and rot and take the loss that way instead of harvesting it at all. It's a long way from Brownsville Texas to Dallas and every mile the truckers travel with those crops adds more to the final cost. https://www.kiiitv.com/article/news...ture/503-811d19fd-84f6-4a62-a254-8cb0fffd272f