When I speculate, I preface by saying so (as I did in my post). I don't give my opinion as fact. When one does speculate, it's best to give a line of reason/logic as to why you concluded the way you did. I guess you're keeping a ratio of how many "factual statements" to "speculations" I have been making? Have you not speculated in these forums? Do you only do it 49% of the time?