How likely are you to find your special someone? (A mathematical breakdown)

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AsifinPassing

AsifinPassing

Senior Member
#41
Jul 13, 2010
3,608
40
48
#41
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zeroturbulence

zeroturbulence

Senior Member
#45
Aug 2, 2009
24,644
4,305
113
#45
Grace-Like-Rain said:
Hmmm. My guess is Nod. Crosstweed always did seem older than 21! Tell us, Tweed! :p
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Oh wow I never thought she might be Nod.. Why you no tell me, Nod???!!! :rolleyes:


I really don't think she's Nod. :( Nod had a much darker sense of humor. And I miss her.
 
Oncefallen

Oncefallen

Idiot in Chief
Staff member
#46
Jan 15, 2011
6,061
3,407
113
#46
zeroturbulence said:
Oh wow I never thought she might be Nod.. Why you no tell me, Nod???!!! :rolleyes:


I really don't think she's Nod. :( Nod had a much darker sense of humor. And I miss her.
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twill said:
That being said, I don't think I'd eliminate the different states from the equation… I consider myself far more likely to meet someone out of state than in the state I'm living in.
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I was leaning more towards Crosstweed being the former twill. I don't think Holly could drop back in here for long without revealing herself.
 
C

crosstweed

Guest
#47
#47
Grace-Like-Rain said:
Hmmm. My guess is Nod. Crosstweed always did seem older than 21! Tell us, Tweed! :p
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Alas, my perceived seniority is a mere illusion, a inevitable consequence of being home-schooled... as is my propensity for pretentious phraseology. xD
zeroturbulence said:
Oh wow I never thought she might be Nod.. Why you no tell me, Nod???!!! :rolleyes:


I really don't think she's Nod. :( Nod had a much darker sense of humor. And I miss her.
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I actually do have a rather dark sense of humor...I just conceal it very well, because people judge you for that sort of thing and won't invite you to parties.
Oncefallen said:
I was leaning more towards Crosstweed being the former twill. I don't think Holly could drop back in here for long without revealing herself.
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Bingo!
Oncefallen gets cookies. :rolleyes:

​=D
 
VCO

VCO

Senior Member
#48
Oct 14, 2013
11,995
4,615
113
#48
Mathematics has nothing to do with it. If you believe and trust in GOD totally, WAITING ON HIM, I believe HE will bring about the events that cause you to meet your Soul Mate. If try to force it to happen, you will fail. That is what I did in my first marriage, that failed miserably after only 6 months. When I waited on GOD to cause me to meet the right woman, He had planned for me; I knew from the very first night that she was my Soul Mate. We were very happily married for 36 years, until she passed away 11-2-15. Do I expect a second Soul Mate? No, I think there is only one of them; however HE may bring a loving companion into my path, and I will know it is HIS will that we marry.
 
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C

crosstweed

Guest
#49
#49
AAAPlus said:
This post from another thread got me thinking on how picky is picky.

There are, give or take, 7 Billion people on this planet. That's 7,000,000,000.

If you don't have ANY standards, that's 7 Billion. There's a great chance you'll find someone.

Ruling out one gender, that makes 3.5 Billion people. You're down to 50%

Then only take people in the U.S. 157,000,000 people remain. You're down to 2.2%

Reduce that even further to people who actually live in the same state as you. Let's take California, since it has the most people in it. Down to 19,000,000 people or .27%

73-76% of people in the U.S. identify as Christian, but only 9% of people actually believe in the Bible, having what is called a "Biblical Worldview". That brings us down to 1,710,000 people and .024% of the total world population.

So far we've eliminated 99.976% of the world population, or 99.952% of all opposite-gendered people. We're well past the 99.9% threshold.

Age is certainly a common factor. In the U.S. in 2005, 7% of people were age 20-25 and 7% were aged 25-30. 30-35 was also at just a bit less than 7%. So we'll take two of these age groups, giving a reasonable plus or minus 5-10 years difference between you and your significant other. So 14% of our group still standing would be 239,400 people. .00336% of the world population.

Now you have to eliminate married people. The average age to get married is 28, and about 50% of people in the U.S. at that age are currently married. That's 119,700 compatible people. .00168% of the total world population. However, it is .315% of the total population of California (again, using a heavily populated state. Your results may vary). If you somehow met every person in the state, 1 out of every 300 people would meet these standards.

But then you have to factor in people you get along with, who you find attractive. Results at this point are highly variable, so lets go out on a limb and say that you are attracted to and/or compatible with a full 10% of people you meet. That brings us down to 11,970 people (again, out of the entire WORLD)

But a relationship is a two-way road. Only 10% of those people will also find you attractive. That makes 1,197 people. 1,197 people that you could start a decent, Godly relationship with. That's .0000171% of the world's population, or 99.9999829% of the world's population eliminated.

That is 1 out of 5,847,953.

So...putting this into perspective...if you went out and met 5,847,953 people at random one of them would likely be compatible with you. Or just meeting people in your state (or wide-general area), you would be compatible with one out of every 31,746 of them.

So if you want to be a little more practical, just take that number and divide it by the number of people in your general metropolitan area. If you live in an area of 500,000 people, there are likely 15-16 people near you that you would be compatible with.

Sources:
https://www.barna.org/barna-update/...hristians-over-the-past-13-years#.Ud3BFvmR81M
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States
Calculated Risk: Demographics GIF: 1920 - 2005
Click to expand...
To answer the OP...

15-16? That's okay.

When the time comes, I'll only need one. :eek:
 
zeroturbulence

zeroturbulence

Senior Member
#50
Aug 2, 2009
24,644
4,305
113
#50
I know what my chances are....

Hint: its in my name... :rolleyes:
 
W

WordMaster

Junior Member
#53
Nov 5, 2014
4
2
3
#53
what about if you're in your early 20's? then the 5-10 age range is kind of skewed.
 
AsifinPassing

AsifinPassing

Senior Member
#54
Jul 13, 2010
3,608
40
48
#54
I kinda thought Cross was Twill when see commented on the post being on the same page (I looked at what accounts were deactivated on the page...), but I didn't want to say anything?
 
C

coby2

Guest
#55
#55
I don't think what I look for exists, but you never know. Maybe there is a 45+ male kid who likes to climb trees with me and has no demands. If not I'll just hang out with real kids.
 
Tinkerbell725

Tinkerbell725

Senior Member
#56
Jul 19, 2014
4,216
1,179
113
Philippines Age 40
#56
How will I know if he is the one? What if there is no one? Whatever I don't care anymore if there is a one. I will just focus on being the one for somebody so that I will have no regrets and that I tried and give it my best.
 
C

coby2

Guest
#57
#57
Nice guys have tons of demands. Bossy guys I can't handle anymore. Lol a bossy guy who'll listen to my ex, sure. It just can't work with anyone unless I'm old and the kids are old, but I think by then I like it too much alone and don't want one anymore. Starting to feel like that already.
 
cinder

cinder

Senior Member
#58
Mar 26, 2014
4,425
2,416
113
#58
AAAPlus said:
This post from another thread got me thinking on how picky is picky.

There are, give or take, 7 Billion people on this planet. That's 7,000,000,000.

If you don't have ANY standards, that's 7 Billion. There's a great chance you'll find someone.

Ruling out one gender, that makes 3.5 Billion people. You're down to 50%

Then only take people in the U.S. 157,000,000 people remain. You're down to 2.2%

Reduce that even further to people who actually live in the same state as you. Let's take California, since it has the most people in it. Down to 19,000,000 people or .27%

73-76% of people in the U.S. identify as Christian, but only 9% of people actually believe in the Bible, having what is called a "Biblical Worldview". That brings us down to 1,710,000 people and .024% of the total world population.

So far we've eliminated 99.976% of the world population, or 99.952% of all opposite-gendered people. We're well past the 99.9% threshold.

Age is certainly a common factor. In the U.S. in 2005, 7% of people were age 20-25 and 7% were aged 25-30. 30-35 was also at just a bit less than 7%. So we'll take two of these age groups, giving a reasonable plus or minus 5-10 years difference between you and your significant other. So 14% of our group still standing would be 239,400 people. .00336% of the world population.

Now you have to eliminate married people. The average age to get married is 28, and about 50% of people in the U.S. at that age are currently married. That's 119,700 compatible people. .00168% of the total world population. However, it is .315% of the total population of California (again, using a heavily populated state. Your results may vary). If you somehow met every person in the state, 1 out of every 300 people would meet these standards.

But then you have to factor in people you get along with, who you find attractive. Results at this point are highly variable, so lets go out on a limb and say that you are attracted to and/or compatible with a full 10% of people you meet. That brings us down to 11,970 people (again, out of the entire WORLD)

But a relationship is a two-way road. Only 10% of those people will also find you attractive. That makes 1,197 people. 1,197 people that you could start a decent, Godly relationship with. That's .0000171% of the world's population, or 99.9999829% of the world's population eliminated.

That is 1 out of 5,847,953.

So...putting this into perspective...if you went out and met 5,847,953 people at random one of them would likely be compatible with you. Or just meeting people in your state (or wide-general area), you would be compatible with one out of every 31,746 of them.

So if you want to be a little more practical, just take that number and divide it by the number of people in your general metropolitan area. If you live in an area of 500,000 people, there are likely 15-16 people near you that you would be compatible with.

Sources:
https://www.barna.org/barna-update/...hristians-over-the-past-13-years#.Ud3BFvmR81M
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States
Calculated Risk: Demographics GIF: 1920 - 2005
Click to expand...
This would be a great way to increase your chances with a nerdy girl. Can't find the gif or movie clip, but reminds me of the scene from my stepmother is an alien where he asks her (the alien in human disguise) "What do you do for fun?" and her response is "Math".
 
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