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M
Big difference when liberal pollsters are watching a election between Republicans and when they begin to try to defend their liberal leaders like Hillary ...The idea is to shape a perception that Trump cant win ..Hillary is way ahead. Its helps them change the subject from Hillarys corruption and even try to throw the Republican nomination back into doubt. They have been caught this very week cheating the polls toward Hillary.
M
Check it out folks ... Its going to be a landslide for Trump
Trump leads Hillary 58% to 21% with independent voters.
https://mevle95.wordpress.com/2016/07/04/trump-ahead-clinton-among-independents/
Trump leads Hillary 58% to 21% with independent voters.
https://mevle95.wordpress.com/2016/07/04/trump-ahead-clinton-among-independents/
Nobody predicted a landslide victory for Romney. You made that up.
If you ran for president as a democrat, you would likely win over 250 electoral votes. That is why there is never a landslide, especially for republicans. Republicans will never win California or New York or most of the northeastern states or Oregon or Washington. You must have seen the red and blue state maps. Some states are always going to support the democrat, no matter how awful they may be. Some states will always support the republican candidate, whether it's Romney or Trump. Swing states are balanced enough to go red in one election and then go blue in the next election. That is changing to some degree with the huge growth in the Hispanic population. The majority of them vote for democrats. They will help Hillary win Florida and Ohio. In the coming years, democrats will win in Arizona and even in Texas, mostly because of Hispanics registering to vote in record numbers. I doubt republicans will ever win the White House again.
Not that a President should be blamed or applauded for what happens while he is in office, I think any intelligent person would admit that the country is a mess these past 8 years. Growth in GDP is the worst is has been since the depression. Unemployed people have given up looking for work and the result is the lowest work force participation rate in many decades. Our enemies have no fear of a feckless commander-in-chief, and attack us at will. We have no solid allies. The borders are essentially open. The only people who should be celebrating this administration are pot smokers, who love the fact the feds have decided not to enforce drug laws. Your comments are totally void of fact and reason.
Turnout models are a huge deal, though. What I know is that the Democrats have a leg-up on the ground game as they've had since 2008. JosephDreams' post was extremely disheartening for me.
I cannot tell you who has the raw advantage, however. Not without more thinking and more research. The electorate that shows up for Trump will have to be different than previous "Republican" models. Hillary has to hold the ground on a shrinking enfranchisement on the hard-left side of things.
I suppose a new blog post is in order.
I cannot tell you who has the raw advantage, however. Not without more thinking and more research. The electorate that shows up for Trump will have to be different than previous "Republican" models. Hillary has to hold the ground on a shrinking enfranchisement on the hard-left side of things.
I suppose a new blog post is in order.
The Democrats have the best get out to vote game. They will bus everyone that they can scrounge up to the polls. Many minority churches will hold a service Tuesday morning, and will bus their congregations to the polls. Right now I don't see any get out to vote effort on that scale. Many Republicans that I know say that they will probably sit this election out. Every Democrat I know plans to vote, and only a few are going to vote for Trump. I still see Romney's 47% die hard Democrats as Trump's major obstacle.
Republicans are actually better about he kitschy, election day stuff. We're really bad at voter registration and EV/AB which are both over half the battle in grassroots.
You are correct in viewing get-out-the-vote as supplementary. What matters more is determining your target demographics and mobilizing them enmasse.
You are correct in viewing get-out-the-vote as supplementary. What matters more is determining your target demographics and mobilizing them enmasse.