The US Joins WW3
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The Tories and Kemi Badenoch's efforts to rebuild their party show some fruit as they secure the Aberdeen election. At the 11th hour a secret alliance perhaps between Count Binface and Andy Burnham to topple Keir Starmer in Starmergeddon is revealed with the rival candidate Count Binface appearing right now with Burnham. The results are being announced now. Sometimes just good olld fashioned politics without the AI is way crazier if you think about it.
www.bbc.com
Makerfield: Result imminent, as Tories win in Aberdeen South and SNP holds Arbroath
Labour's Andy Burnham is hoping to return to Westminster - meanwhile, the Conservatives comfortably win in Aberdeen, while the SNP holds Arbroath and Broughty Ferry.
www.bbc.com
We have a very disturbing pattern that is weird and so it can explain why so many people are confused.
The pattern is this, we are told from both sides of the conflict that peace is right around the corner. Trump makes it sound like the deal is in the works, Iran doesn't come out and deny this. We get right up to the deal and then something happens which puts a stop to it and then very quickly we are again told we are right on the verge of a deal.
You see, if in March we were told that this conflict would go through the summer we would have taken steps to ration fuel, and do what was necessary to make sure we have enough fuel for fertilizer and other necessary uses. But when you think a peace deal is days away you don't do that. As a result the US and the rest of the world is consuming fuel faster than we otherwise would. Most countries can cut back 5-10% and had we done that we could weather the storm. But now we have consumed our buffer, we are on the verge of crisis in the US and the US is the biggest producer of gas. Russia, which is a very big exporter of petroleum is now buying gasoline. Singapore is out. Australia has already reached crisis level along with Japan. Europe is also close behind.
The pattern I am seeing is they are trying to deplete strategic reserves worldwide. Now why would they do that? The only logical answers are incredibly paranoid. It is so scary no one wants to talk about it, but the reality is the most paranoid explanation is the simplest explanation. Not hard to believe, imagine Coca Cola and Pepsi decide it is more profitable if they work together rather than compete? That isn't hard to imagine, it is why we have anti trust laws. Well imagine if the world leaders decide to work together rather than compete. If they can manufacture a crisis they can take advantage of that crisis to get the world's population to give them more power. The idea that the world leaders are working to make the world a better place for their local population is a viewpoint that has less and less evidentiary support each day. This may not have been very obvious prior to the assassination of JFK, but since that time it is not hard to see the influence of a deep state that has goals that diverge from the interests of the general population, and from year to year that divergence gets bigger and bigger until you have to be willfully blind to not see it.
The pattern is this, we are told from both sides of the conflict that peace is right around the corner. Trump makes it sound like the deal is in the works, Iran doesn't come out and deny this. We get right up to the deal and then something happens which puts a stop to it and then very quickly we are again told we are right on the verge of a deal.
You see, if in March we were told that this conflict would go through the summer we would have taken steps to ration fuel, and do what was necessary to make sure we have enough fuel for fertilizer and other necessary uses. But when you think a peace deal is days away you don't do that. As a result the US and the rest of the world is consuming fuel faster than we otherwise would. Most countries can cut back 5-10% and had we done that we could weather the storm. But now we have consumed our buffer, we are on the verge of crisis in the US and the US is the biggest producer of gas. Russia, which is a very big exporter of petroleum is now buying gasoline. Singapore is out. Australia has already reached crisis level along with Japan. Europe is also close behind.
The pattern I am seeing is they are trying to deplete strategic reserves worldwide. Now why would they do that? The only logical answers are incredibly paranoid. It is so scary no one wants to talk about it, but the reality is the most paranoid explanation is the simplest explanation. Not hard to believe, imagine Coca Cola and Pepsi decide it is more profitable if they work together rather than compete? That isn't hard to imagine, it is why we have anti trust laws. Well imagine if the world leaders decide to work together rather than compete. If they can manufacture a crisis they can take advantage of that crisis to get the world's population to give them more power. The idea that the world leaders are working to make the world a better place for their local population is a viewpoint that has less and less evidentiary support each day. This may not have been very obvious prior to the assassination of JFK, but since that time it is not hard to see the influence of a deep state that has goals that diverge from the interests of the general population, and from year to year that divergence gets bigger and bigger until you have to be willfully blind to not see it.
| JD in the doghouse? | AN OPEN LETTER TO US VICE PRESIDENT JAMES DAVID VANCE Mr. Vance, with all due respect (what little of it remains with every word you speak): stop talking to Israel as if you are addressing a beggar protectorate or a pocket vassal. Yes, America generously allocates dollars and stamps out part of the hardware in its factories. But it does so strictly according to Israeli blueprints. The systems that actually closed our skies and saved millions of lives—Iron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow—were conceived, perfected, and battle-tested by ISRAELI BRAINS. All these brilliant algorithms, radars, and the interception doctrine itself are pure Made in Israel, not some souvenir from Washington. Washington provides the paper (for which we thank the American taxpayers), but Israel pays for it with the genius of its engineers and the living blood of our brothers on the battlefield. So, the balance is perfectly equal. And when you, sitting in a cozy office across the ocean, start lecturing us along the lines of "don’t dare anger your only ally," it reeks of such dense, arrogant hubris that it becomes embarrassing. Right now, you are millions of light-years away from being a true statesman, but just a couple of steps away from absolute ignorance. Israel is not at war with its friends. The United States is our partner, NOT our boss. And while we are here defending our very right to breathe on this land, you and Trump are trying to cut backroom deals with the exact same Iranian regime that dreams of erasing us from the map. We don’t need your lectures or your sermons from Washington. We just need you to stop confusing an alliance with serfdom. The Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, is not a hired employee in Trump's corporation, nor is he an errand boy for Vance. He is a leader chosen by the Jewish people to protect this nation with teeth and claws. And we will not fall to our knees for your subsidies, for which Israel already pays in full every single day—strategically, technologically, and geopolitically. P.S. You will never become President of the United States. But if Israel's strength, independence, and intelligence annoy you that much—go ahead, try pulling your support. Do us a favor. You will see firsthand how Israel keeps standing on its own two feet, while your political career crashes and burns. We have survived and stayed strong—with or without America. But you without us? You will be nothing more than a footnote in old history textbooks. |
The something that happened is Hezbollah attacked Israel and killed four Isreali soldiers. Israel retialated as was their right as a sovereign state. Now divided Iran leadership section which funds and supports Hezbollah was/is backing out. Iran has missiles that can reach Europe which can be fitted with nuclear warheads and now Europe is on alert because they know Iran will use them. Hope that helps but why write something happens when you should know exactly what happened? Don't you think the responsible thing to do is for Iran to keep its attack dogs [Hezbollah] on a leash?
Insurrection Barbie.
Hezbollah was deliberately built by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard in the 1980s as a proxy army, a Shia Islamist militia with one clear mission. To bleed Israel, bleed the United States, and extend Tehran’s reach without Tehran’s fingerprints. From the beginning, Hezbollah chose civilians. In Beirut, truck bombs ripped through the U.S. embassy and the Marine barracks, murdering American diplomats and 241 Marines in their sleep. In Saudi Arabia, the Khobar Towers blast tore open a building full of U.S. servicemembers. In Buenos Aires, the Israeli embassy and the AMIA Jewish community center were turned into rubble and body parts.
In Bulgaria, a bus of tourists became a fireball. In Lebanon they dug bunkers into the hills of the south, put rockets under people’s houses, and pointed tens of thousands of missiles at Israeli cities. They set up their own communications networks, courts, foreign policy. When Hezbollah decides there will be a war with Israel, there is a war, and Beirut finds out after the fact. When it decides to intervene in Syria, Lebanese young men die in Aleppo because an Iranian general says so. A group that can drag a country into war and export its young to fight in another country’s civil war is not a “party.”And then there is our hemisphere. While Americans have been telling themselves this is a faraway conflict, Hezbollah has been doing business in our backyard. In the tri‑border zone between Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil, its operatives and sympathizers have spent years smuggling, laundering, and trafficking and cutting deals with cartels, moving cocaine, washing dirty money through shell companies. The profits go back to the same organization that blew up AMIA and the embassy, that trained the bombers who killed our Marines.
Hezbollah is one of the best examples on earth of the new model of threat: a militant group, a crime syndicate, and a political actor all at once. This is why it is our problem. Because we learned, or said we learned, after 9/11 what happens when you ignore an organization that has both the intent and the capacity to hit you. Hezbollah has both. It has already shown that it will kill Americans when it wants. It has built networks in Latin America that touch the same routes as the drugs tearing apart American communities.
It has operatives and facilitators inside our borders, convicted in our courts, who have helped move money and goods for the cause. And above it all stands a regime in Tehran that sees Hezbollah as its long arm and the thing it can use in Europe, in the Gulf, and, yes, in the Western Hemisphere if confrontation with the United States ever goes from cold to hot. You can be skeptical of endless war and still see what this means. The question is not whether we like the idea of “crushing Hezbollah.” The question is whether we are prepared to accept a future in which a single organization that is armed by an adversarial state controls a private army on Israel’s border, a veto in Lebanon, and a criminal and terror network stretching from the Levant to the Rio Grande. If the answer is yes, then we should admit that we are comfortable living in a world where embassies, community centers, apartment blocks, and buses are expendable so long as we can pretend it doesn’t affect us in our direct backyard.
But what happened when it does?
----------------------------------------------GROK
How accurate is this overall?
The post is largely accurate as a whole. It presents a well-supported overview of Hezbollah's origins, actions, structure, and global reach, drawing from established historical events, intelligence assessments, and law enforcement findings. It frames Hezbollah as an Iranian proxy with hybrid militant-criminal-political features, which aligns with mainstream analyses from sources like the U.S. government, think tanks, and court records.
Latin America (Tri-Border Area): Well-documented hub for Hezbollah-linked money laundering, drug trafficking (cocaine ties to cartels), smuggling, and fundraising. Profits fund the group; the region (Argentina-Paraguay-Brazil) has long been flagged in U.S. and regional reports.
U.S. Presence and Risks: Hezbollah has networks in the U.S. (e.g., Dearborn, MI area with Shia communities), with convictions for material support, cigarette smuggling, money laundering, and other crimes funding the group. No major post-9/11 attack in the U.S., but operational and financial activity exists.
extremism.gwu.edu
Hezbollah was deliberately built by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard in the 1980s as a proxy army, a Shia Islamist militia with one clear mission. To bleed Israel, bleed the United States, and extend Tehran’s reach without Tehran’s fingerprints. From the beginning, Hezbollah chose civilians. In Beirut, truck bombs ripped through the U.S. embassy and the Marine barracks, murdering American diplomats and 241 Marines in their sleep. In Saudi Arabia, the Khobar Towers blast tore open a building full of U.S. servicemembers. In Buenos Aires, the Israeli embassy and the AMIA Jewish community center were turned into rubble and body parts.
In Bulgaria, a bus of tourists became a fireball. In Lebanon they dug bunkers into the hills of the south, put rockets under people’s houses, and pointed tens of thousands of missiles at Israeli cities. They set up their own communications networks, courts, foreign policy. When Hezbollah decides there will be a war with Israel, there is a war, and Beirut finds out after the fact. When it decides to intervene in Syria, Lebanese young men die in Aleppo because an Iranian general says so. A group that can drag a country into war and export its young to fight in another country’s civil war is not a “party.”And then there is our hemisphere. While Americans have been telling themselves this is a faraway conflict, Hezbollah has been doing business in our backyard. In the tri‑border zone between Argentina, Paraguay, and Brazil, its operatives and sympathizers have spent years smuggling, laundering, and trafficking and cutting deals with cartels, moving cocaine, washing dirty money through shell companies. The profits go back to the same organization that blew up AMIA and the embassy, that trained the bombers who killed our Marines.
Hezbollah is one of the best examples on earth of the new model of threat: a militant group, a crime syndicate, and a political actor all at once. This is why it is our problem. Because we learned, or said we learned, after 9/11 what happens when you ignore an organization that has both the intent and the capacity to hit you. Hezbollah has both. It has already shown that it will kill Americans when it wants. It has built networks in Latin America that touch the same routes as the drugs tearing apart American communities.
It has operatives and facilitators inside our borders, convicted in our courts, who have helped move money and goods for the cause. And above it all stands a regime in Tehran that sees Hezbollah as its long arm and the thing it can use in Europe, in the Gulf, and, yes, in the Western Hemisphere if confrontation with the United States ever goes from cold to hot. You can be skeptical of endless war and still see what this means. The question is not whether we like the idea of “crushing Hezbollah.” The question is whether we are prepared to accept a future in which a single organization that is armed by an adversarial state controls a private army on Israel’s border, a veto in Lebanon, and a criminal and terror network stretching from the Levant to the Rio Grande. If the answer is yes, then we should admit that we are comfortable living in a world where embassies, community centers, apartment blocks, and buses are expendable so long as we can pretend it doesn’t affect us in our direct backyard.
But what happened when it does?
----------------------------------------------GROK
How accurate is this overall?
The post is largely accurate as a whole. It presents a well-supported overview of Hezbollah's origins, actions, structure, and global reach, drawing from established historical events, intelligence assessments, and law enforcement findings. It frames Hezbollah as an Iranian proxy with hybrid militant-criminal-political features, which aligns with mainstream analyses from sources like the U.S. government, think tanks, and court records.
Latin America (Tri-Border Area): Well-documented hub for Hezbollah-linked money laundering, drug trafficking (cocaine ties to cartels), smuggling, and fundraising. Profits fund the group; the region (Argentina-Paraguay-Brazil) has long been flagged in U.S. and regional reports.
U.S. Presence and Risks: Hezbollah has networks in the U.S. (e.g., Dearborn, MI area with Shia communities), with convictions for material support, cigarette smuggling, money laundering, and other crimes funding the group. No major post-9/11 attack in the U.S., but operational and financial activity exists.
extremism.gwu.edu
lol she says Israel's defending itself in Lebanon. Peoples' minds are scrambled
These people are so delusional. Israel only continues to exist because of the US. US support goes far beyond just selling them military hardware. They wouldn't be able to do a fraction of what they can do now to Iran without US intelligence, mid-air refueling, missile air defense and direct US participation. They simply don't have the capacity. They would have run out of air defense missiles if the US hadn't stepped in and bombed Iran the first time.
The ONLY way Israel would continue to survive if the US pulled its support would be if they used its nukes to terrorize the region. Even that will come to an end one day when the world says enough and nukes Israel in response.
There is a pattern that is repeating, not once or twice but over and over and over again so that it is reasonable to ask if this pattern is in fact the plan?The something that happened is Hezbollah attacked Israel and killed four Isreali soldiers. Israel retialated as was their right as a sovereign state. Now divided Iran leadership section which funds and supports Hezbollah was/is backing out. Iran has missiles that can reach Europe which can be fitted with nuclear warheads and now Europe is on alert because they know Iran will use them. Hope that helps but why write something happens when you should know exactly what happened? Don't you think the responsible thing to do is for Iran to keep its attack dogs [Hezbollah] on a leash?
The war-porn addicts are starting to get all hot and bothered again with the thought of renewed death and destruction
Accurate statement since Israel occupies land in southern Lebanon as a buffer zone where they drove Hezbollah back on their behinds. It is not an annexation of the occupied land
Ran out of time to add this. Looks like Hezbollah is on the back foot. GROK
What Israel Has Achieved in Southern Lebanon
- Ground operations and buffer zone: Starting in March 2026, the IDF launched a ground invasion focused on southern Lebanon. It seized control of key positions, destroyed tunnels, weapons caches, and infrastructure (including razing villages it claimed Hezbollah used for military purposes), and issued widespread evacuation orders. The zone now covers roughly 570–600+ sq km (expanding in places toward or beyond the Litani River, ~10 km or more deep in areas).
nbcnews.com - Hezbollah degradation: Israel reports eliminating thousands of Hezbollah fighters, commanders, and assets in the south. Operations aimed to clear the area south of the Litani River (per goals tied to UN Resolution 1701) to prevent direct border threats like the pre-war rocket fire and potential ground incursions. Netanyahu and officials have claimed success in removing the immediate "invasion threat" from the closest border villages.
facebook.com - Current control: The IDF maintains direct military control in the demarcated "yellow line"/red zone areas. Lebanese civilians are largely barred from returning "until security is guaranteed," and Israel continues demolitions and targeted strikes. This has effectively displaced Hezbollah's overt presence from the immediate border strip under IDF occupation.
- In summary: Israel has driven Hezbollah out of the specific southern lands it directly occupies and controls as a buffer—achieving a tactical clearance through force—but the group persists as a threat with hit-and-run attacks and presence in adjacent areas. Israel frames this as necessary defense until Hezbollah is neutralized or disarmed; critics call it prolonged occupation fueling the cycle. The situation is fluid amid ongoing negotiations and tensions.
WTF HAPPENED IN JUST SECONDS.....
No ship owner is going to send their oil tanker into the Strait until they are sure the fighting is over and that means a bare minimum of 30 days of no fighting and then it will still be another two weeks for the ships to arrive and still another two weeks for them to get back with the oil. That means best case scenario is another two months without oil coming out of the strait. We were told if this conflict went into June it would cause a global economic catastrophe and now we know it is at least going to go through to the end of August.
In addition when you shut down pumping oil in wells they suffer damage. It can require they go back in with a drill and clean it up before reopening the well. The amount of damage is based on how long they are closed, if it is a week you might not have much damage, but if it is three months you are not going to come back online full strength. So even when they do restart the wells it may take another one or two months to return to normal production.
Now the situation in the US is about the best in the world. There are countries that are completely out of oil, there are others like China that oil imports are down 40%. You may think that is no problem, who cares about China, well China just dumped $40 billion worth of US bonds. Other countries are selling gold or US bonds to get oil. Japan, Australia and Singapore are all desperate. Russia, one of the biggest oil exporters is now buying gasoline. This is like a huge wildfire that will engulf the whole globe. We can see the smoke rising, soon the fire will be here in the US.
Why hasn't Hezbollah drove Israel out of southern Lebanon? Don't you think Israel could advance further into Lebanon if they decided to?
I am guessing Hezbollah would have to come out and fight and not hide behind the women and children.