Replacement theology? Yes or No.

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Flesh and blood cannot inherit the kingdom of God.

Flesh can inherit the Millennial Kingdom on earth, but it can't inherit the Heavenly Kingdom.

People will actually be living, dying, and continuing to repopulate in the earthly Millennial Kingdom, not so in the Heavenly Kingdom.


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1 Corinthians 15:53 For this corruptible must put on incorruption, and this mortal must put on immortality.

Jesus' kingdom is heavenly, not earthly.
This is the restoration that was first offered to the children of Jacob.
It starts with a spiritual transformation of the heart (Jeremiah 31:33) and continues with more transformations to follow (1 Cor. 15).

The permanent state of His Kingdom is in Heaven, and while God/Jesus will be transforming hearts, it will start on earth during the Millennial Kingdom. "Your kingdom come, your will be done, ON EARTH AS IT IS IN HEAVEN." We know it's on earth because the entire description of Jesus' return laid out for us in the Bible talks about people visiting a temple, worshiping day and night, living, dying, repopulating, still sinning (on a much smaller scale) and keeping the Sabbaths. All of which is NOT needed in the permanent state of Heaven. AFTER that then we see the FINAL Great White Throne Judgement take place in Revelation 20.

Heaven doesn't need the sun or the moon because God/Jesus is the light of it:

Revelation 21:10-23

10 And he carried me away in the spirit to a great and high mountain, and shewed me that great city, the holy Jerusalem, descending out of heaven from God,

11 Having the glory of God: and her light was like unto a stone most precious, even like a jasper stone, clear as crystal;

12 And had a wall great and high, and had twelve gates, and at the gates twelve angels, and names written thereon, which are the names of the twelve tribes of the children of Israel:

13 On the east three gates; on the north three gates; on the south three gates; and on the west three gates.

14 And the wall of the city had twelve foundations, and in them the names of the twelve apostles of the Lamb.

15 And he that talked with me had a golden reed to measure the city, and the gates thereof, and the wall thereof.

16 And the city lieth foursquare, and the length is as large as the breadth: and he measured the city with the reed, twelve thousand furlongs. The length and the breadth and the height of it are equal.

17 And he measured the wall thereof, an hundred and forty and four cubits, according to the measure of a man, that is, of the angel.

18 And the building of the wall of it was of jasper: and the city was pure gold, like unto clear glass.

19 And the foundations of the wall of the city were garnished with all manner of precious stones. The first foundation was jasper; the second, sapphire; the third, a chalcedony; the fourth, an emerald;

20 The fifth, sardonyx; the sixth, sardius; the seventh, chrysolyte; the eighth, beryl; the ninth, a topaz; the tenth, a chrysoprasus; the eleventh, a jacinth; the twelfth, an amethyst.

21 And the twelve gates were twelve pearls: every several gate was of one pearl: and the street of the city was pure gold, as it were transparent glass.

22 And I saw no temple therein: for the Lord God Almighty and the Lamb are the temple of it.

23 And the city had no need of the sun, neither of the moon, to shine in it: for the glory of God did lighten it, and the Lamb is the light thereof.
 
I think you are making a stronger case than many do, but I would still challenge one key assumption.
Deuteronomy 28 certainly teaches that covenant disobedience would result in exile from the land.
No argument there.
Israel experienced those covenant curses repeatedly throughout her history.

My question is whether that proves the land promises themselves have been permanently nullified.

The same Torah that contains the curses also contains promises of restoration after scattering (Deut. 30:1-5).
So if we appeal to Deuteronomy 28, we must also account for Deuteronomy 30.
Likewise, Paul says: "For the gifts and calling of God are without repentance" (Rom. 11:29).
Whether one interprets that corporately or otherwise, it means the discussion cannot be settled by citing the curses alone.
I agree that circumcision by itself never guaranteed covenant faithfulness.
The prophets repeatedly condemned that assumption.
But I do not see Scripture saying that because Israel incurred the covenant curses, every aspect of God's promises concerning the land is therefore canceled forever.
So I think the real issue is not whether Deuteronomy 28 happened. It did.
The issue is whether the covenant curses exhaust the biblical testimony, or whether the promises of restoration must be considered alongside them.

The promises of restoration must of course be considered alongside of the curses.

Deuteronomy 30:2 And shalt return unto the Lord thy God, and shalt obey his voice according to all that I command thee this day, thou and thy children, with all thine heart, and with all thy soul;
3 That then the Lord thy God will turn thy captivity, and have compassion upon thee, and will return and gather thee from all the nations, whither the Lord thy God hath scattered thee.

There is also a condition here for this blessing of obedience through faith.
This particular restoration promise is also under the covenant of Moses and for the children of Israel only.
We all know that God acted on it in the return from Babylon, while the Mosaic covenant still stood.
With the covenant of the law already permanently broken, God has still not abandoned His everlasting intentions, but He will not carry them out by means of the old covenant.

A new and better covenant is now established on better promises (Hebrews 8:6).
If a case can be made for a Jewish restoration by God to the earthly promised land, it must be found in these new covenant promises.

It is clear to us that these better promises include a spiritual restoration of the heart (Jeremiah 31 and Hebrews 8), and future spiritual restoration of bodies, the earth, heaven and heavenly Jerusalem after the resurrection (1 Cor. 15)
What seems to be absent from the Bible however, is a new covenant promise that makes provision for an earthly restoration Jews to the land before the resurrection on the grounds of circumcision and blood relation to Abraham (John 8:37-58).
Those who wish to make this case will mostly refer us back to old covenant promises and events.
 
The promises of restoration must of course be considered alongside of the curses.

Deuteronomy 30:2 And shalt return unto the Lord thy God, and shalt obey his voice according to all that I command thee this day, thou and thy children, with all thine heart, and with all thy soul;
3 That then the Lord thy God will turn thy captivity, and have compassion upon thee, and will return and gather thee from all the nations, whither the Lord thy God hath scattered thee.

There is also a condition here for this blessing of obedience through faith.
This particular restoration promise is also under the covenant of Moses and for the children of Israel only.
We all know that God acted on it in the return from Babylon, while the Mosaic covenant still stood.
With the covenant of the law already permanently broken, God has still not abandoned His everlasting intentions, but He will not carry them out by means of the old covenant.

A new and better covenant is now established on better promises (Hebrews 8:6).
If a case can be made for a Jewish restoration by God to the earthly promised land, it must be found in these new covenant promises.

It is clear to us that these better promises include a spiritual restoration of the heart (Jeremiah 31 and Hebrews 8), and future spiritual restoration of bodies, the earth, heaven and heavenly Jerusalem after the resurrection (1 Cor. 15)
What seems to be absent from the Bible however, is a new covenant promise that makes provision for an earthly restoration Jews to the land before the resurrection on the grounds of circumcision and blood relation to Abraham (John 8:37-58).
Those who wish to make this case will mostly refer us back to old covenant promises and events.

cv5 already explained it on the last page of this thread. Here's another explanation that I know has been shared here before too:

Jesus replaced the Mosaic Covenant because it was a temporal and conditional arrangement that Israel failed to keep, whereas the Abrahamic and Davidic Covenants are sovereign, unconditional, and eternal. The New Testament explicitly identifies the Mosaic Law as obsolete and replaced, while affirming that the promises to Abraham and David find their ultimate fulfillment in Christ without being terminated.

The Mosaic Covenant Was Replaced​

The Mosaic Covenant is described as the "Old Covenant" that is obsolete and ready to vanish away because it was broken by Israel. Jesus instituted the New Covenant, which supersedes the Mosaic system of law and sacrifice.

  • Hebrews 8:13: "In speaking of a new covenant, he makes the first one obsolete. And what is becoming obsolete and growing old is ready to vanish away."
  • 2 Corinthians 3:11: "For if the ministry of death, carved in letters on stone, came with glory... will not the ministry of the Spirit have more glory?"
  • Hebrews 7:18-19: "There is, then, a setting aside of a former commandment... for the law made nothing perfect, but a bringing in of a better hope does."
  • Jeremiah 31:32: God states the New Covenant is not like the covenant He made with their fathers when He brought them out of Egypt (the Mosaic Covenant), "which they broke."

The Abrahamic Covenant Was Never Ended​

The Abrahamic Covenant is everlasting and unconditional. The Mosaic Law did not annul it but was a temporary addition (a "codicil") until Christ came. The New Covenant is essentially the fulfillment and extension of the Abrahamic promise to all nations.

  • Galatians 3:17: "This is what I mean: the law, which came 430 years afterward, does not annul a covenant previously ratified by God, so as to make the promise void."
  • Genesis 17:7: "And I will establish my covenant between me and you and your offspring after you... for an everlasting covenant, to be God to you and to your offspring after you."
  • Hebrews 6:13-14: God swore by Himself to Abraham, promising to bless and multiply him, an oath that "cannot change, because it is impossible for God to lie."
  • Galatians 3:29: "And if you are Christ's, then you are Abraham's offspring, heirs according to promise."

The Davidic Covenant Was Never Ended​

The Davidic Covenant guarantees an eternal throne for David’s lineage. Jesus, as the Messiah from David’s line, fulfills this promise by reigning forever, meaning the covenant is confirmed and perpetuated, not terminated.
  • 2 Samuel 7:16: "And your house and your kingdom shall be made sure forever before me. Your throne shall be established forever."
  • Luke 1:32-33: "He will be great and will be called the Son of the Most High... and the Lord God will give to him the throne of his father David, and he will reign over the house of Jacob forever, and of his kingdom there will be no end."
  • Acts 2:30: "Being therefore a prophet and knowing that God had sworn with an oath to him that he would set one of his descendants on his throne."
  • Hebrews 1:8: Referring to the Son (Jesus), God says, "Your throne, O God, is forever and ever."
 
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The permanent state of His Kingdom is in Heaven, and while God/Jesus will be transforming hearts, it will start on earth during the Millennial Kingdom.
It starts on earth, but it begins when a person first believes in Jesus.

Hebrews 8:10 For this is the covenant that I will make with the house of Israel after those days, saith the Lord; I will put my laws into their mind, and write them in their hearts: and I will be to them a God, and they shall be to me a people:

This reference to Jeremiah 31 was relevant to the Hebrew Christian church, because it was already happening then.
 
It starts on earth, but it begins when a person first believes in Jesus.

Hebrews 8:10 For this is the covenant that I will make with the house of Israel after those days, saith the Lord; I will put my laws into their mind, and write them in their hearts: and I will be to them a God, and they shall be to me a people:

This reference to Jeremiah 31 was relevant to the Hebrew Christian church, because it was already happening then.

You act as though we haven't already shared Bible verses with you countless times already about how God/Jesus will pour out His Spirit on them to transform their hearts. When this happens, they WILL BELIEVE IN JESUS. That's how ALL of us come to Jesus. If it wasn't for God and the Holy Spirit stirring in our hearts to give us our FAITH, we wouldn't have it either!

Matthew 16:15-17 -

15 He saith unto them, But whom say ye that I am?

16 Simon Peter answered and said, Thou art the Christ, the Son of the living God.

17 And Jesus answered and said unto him, Blessed art thou, Simon Barjona: for flesh and blood hath not revealed it unto thee, but my Father which is in heaven.

--
 
It starts on earth, but it begins when a person first believes in Jesus.

Hebrews 8:10 For this is the covenant that I will make with the house of Israel after those days, saith the Lord; I will put my laws into their mind, and write them in their hearts: and I will be to them a God, and they shall be to me a people:

This reference to Jeremiah 31 was relevant to the Hebrew Christian church, because it was already happening then.

So, while it was relevant then it will be relevant again when God/Jesus pours out His Spirit AGAIN on the house of Israel. God/Jesus is NOT done pouring out His Spirit on people on the earth.

--
 
The promises of restoration must of course be considered alongside of the curses.

Deuteronomy 30:2 And shalt return unto the Lord thy God, and shalt obey his voice according to all that I command thee this day, thou and thy children, with all thine heart, and with all thy soul;
3 That then the Lord thy God will turn thy captivity, and have compassion upon thee, and will return and gather thee from all the nations, whither the Lord thy God hath scattered thee.

There is also a condition here for this blessing of obedience through faith.
This particular restoration promise is also under the covenant of Moses and for the children of Israel only.
We all know that God acted on it in the return from Babylon, while the Mosaic covenant still stood.
With the covenant of the law already permanently broken, God has still not abandoned His everlasting intentions, but He will not carry them out by means of the old covenant.

A new and better covenant is now established on better promises (Hebrews 8:6).
If a case can be made for a Jewish restoration by God to the earthly promised land, it must be found in these new covenant promises.

It is clear to us that these better promises include a spiritual restoration of the heart (Jeremiah 31 and Hebrews 8), and future spiritual restoration of bodies, the earth, heaven and heavenly Jerusalem after the resurrection (1 Cor. 15)
What seems to be absent from the Bible however, is a new covenant promise that makes provision for an earthly restoration Jews to the land before the resurrection on the grounds of circumcision and blood relation to Abraham (John 8:37-58).
Those who wish to make this case will mostly refer us back to old covenant promises and events.
Brother, that is a stronger argument than simply appealing to Deuteronomy 28, and I appreciate the distinction you're making.

I agree that Deuteronomy 30 contains conditions of repentance and obedience, and I agree that the New Covenant is superior to the Mosaic Covenant (Heb. 8:6).
Where I think the debate remains open is whether the New Testament reinterprets all land promises exclusively in spiritual terms.

You argue that any future restoration must be found in New Covenant promises. Fair enough.
But many would point to passages like Romans 11 and argue that God's future purposes for Israel are discussed there, not merely in the Old Testament.

My main question would be this: does the New Testament ever explicitly say that the land promises have been transformed into purely spiritual realities and can no longer have any geographical or national aspect?

I agree that physical descent from Abraham is not sufficient.
Jesus dismantles that assumption in John 8, and Paul repeatedly emphasizes faith.

However, it seems to me that you're asking dispensationalists to prove a future land restoration from the New Covenant while assuming that the New Covenant excludes such a restoration unless explicitly restated.
That's the point I would challenge.

To be clear, I am not taking sides here.
The real issue is not whether the New Covenant brings a deeper spiritual fulfillment. It clearly does.
The question is whether that spiritual fulfillment exhausts every aspect of God's promises to Israel, or whether some promises still await a future fulfillment.

That is where I think the discussion actually needs to focus.
 
cv5 already explained it on the last page of this thread. Here's another explanation that I know has been shared here before too:

Jesus replaced the Mosaic Covenant because it was a temporal and conditional arrangement that Israel failed to keep, whereas the Abrahamic and Davidic Covenants are sovereign, unconditional, and eternal. The New Testament explicitly identifies the Mosaic Law as obsolete and replaced, while affirming that the promises to Abraham and David find their ultimate fulfillment in Christ without being terminated.

The Mosaic Covenant Was Replaced​

The Mosaic Covenant is described as the "Old Covenant" that is obsolete and ready to vanish away because it was broken by Israel. Jesus instituted the New Covenant, which supersedes the Mosaic system of law and sacrifice.

  • Hebrews 8:13: "In speaking of a new covenant, he makes the first one obsolete. And what is becoming obsolete and growing old is ready to vanish away."
  • 2 Corinthians 3:11: "For if the ministry of death, carved in letters on stone, came with glory... will not the ministry of the Spirit have more glory?"
  • Hebrews 7:18-19: "There is, then, a setting aside of a former commandment... for the law made nothing perfect, but a bringing in of a better hope does."
  • Jeremiah 31:32: God states the New Covenant is not like the covenant He made with their fathers when He brought them out of Egypt (the Mosaic Covenant), "which they broke."

The Abrahamic Covenant Was Never Ended​

The Abrahamic Covenant is everlasting and unconditional. The Mosaic Law did not annul it but was a temporary addition (a "codicil") until Christ came. The New Covenant is essentially the fulfillment and extension of the Abrahamic promise to all nations.

  • Galatians 3:17: "This is what I mean: the law, which came 430 years afterward, does not annul a covenant previously ratified by God, so as to make the promise void."
  • Genesis 17:7: "And I will establish my covenant between me and you and your offspring after you... for an everlasting covenant, to be God to you and to your offspring after you."
  • Hebrews 6:13-14: God swore by Himself to Abraham, promising to bless and multiply him, an oath that "cannot change, because it is impossible for God to lie."
  • Galatians 3:29: "And if you are Christ's, then you are Abraham's offspring, heirs according to promise."

The Davidic Covenant Was Never Ended​

The Davidic Covenant guarantees an eternal throne for David’s lineage. Jesus, as the Messiah from David’s line, fulfills this promise by reigning forever, meaning the covenant is confirmed and perpetuated, not terminated.
  • 2 Samuel 7:16: "And your house and your kingdom shall be made sure forever before me. Your throne shall be established forever."
  • Luke 1:32-33: "He will be great and will be called the Son of the Most High... and the Lord God will give to him the throne of his father David, and he will reign over the house of Jacob forever, and of his kingdom there will be no end."
  • Acts 2:30: "Being therefore a prophet and knowing that God had sworn with an oath to him that he would set one of his descendants on his throne."
  • venantverlasting coHebrews 1:8: Referring to the Son (Jesus), God says, "Your throne, O God, is forever and ever."

The Davidic covenant establishes eternal kingship, not land promise.

God's promises were Abraham were not all everlasting, there were earthly promises too which were also unconditional.
Abram was to be shown the promised land, a great nation was to be made of him, he was to be the father of many nations, God would bless his friends and curse his enemies, his descendants would be slaves in Egypt 430 years, they would be delivered from Egypt and he would die at a good old age.
These promises were all made to Abram, not to anybody else, and God did all of them.

There were everlasting promises to Abraham too, although they were not everlasting in their immediate application but in the eternal application of them.
Circumcision for example was called an "everlasting covenant" (v.13) not suggesting that the flesh will live forever or that Abraham's descendants would keep doing that even in the new heavens and new earth, or even that they would be obliged to do it under the new covenant.
It is everlasting in its meaning, and that is circumcision of the heart (Romans 2:29).
The everlasting promised land has a meaning beyond the temporal earthly land as well.